Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-11-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96480 16388 114 632 218 9 0 0
OW 81 1287 69 774 938 135 0 0
VODI 11 279 44 360 675 727 10 0
ODI 0 86 15 345 475 875 191 0
CDI 0 44 10 188 958 1442 603 0
VCDI 0 66 8 128 1065 6539 20711 34068
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95402 15542 121 560 251 27 0 0
OW 52 1163 64 798 439 91 0 0
VODI 45 714 46 439 1204 945 15 0
ODI 0 104 20 311 433 849 106 0
CDI 0 39 11 272 721 1323 458 0
VCDI 0 53 6 106 1054 10824 21087 31353
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93189 18296 154 670 207 1 0 0
OW 66 471 62 480 311 20 0 0
VODI 15 116 27 454 705 103 0 0
ODI 2 46 10 172 938 637 5 0
CDI 0 21 8 84 830 2478 511 1
VCDI 0 1 2 53 355 6835 23417 35295
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92237 17839 151 599 152 25 0 0
OW 26 672 82 696 211 6 0 0
VODI 0 387 34 568 578 59 0 0
ODI 1 81 19 255 766 226 18 0
CDI 0 17 7 182 907 1012 138 18
VCDI 0 0 0 64 1011 8514 22636 36854
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92235 17903 161 682 158 26 0 0
OW 28 661 71 544 246 2 0 0
VODI 0 314 33 601 556 70 0 0
ODI 1 94 16 268 727 255 20 0
CDI 0 24 12 188 885 1070 200 18
VCDI 0 0 0 81 1053 8419 22572 36854

Date: 2022-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90950 17407 130 583 246 29 0 0
OW 29 926 92 696 255 18 0 0
VODI 0 377 27 546 649 59 0 0
ODI 0 268 16 234 636 225 11 0
CDI 1 110 9 114 717 863 123 7
VCDI 0 3 1 61 789 6649 21942 41250
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90949 17502 138 644 262 29 0 0
OW 30 822 78 630 266 14 0 0
VODI 0 372 31 530 608 81 0 0
ODI 0 222 12 214 604 251 14 0
CDI 1 168 14 142 667 870 151 7
VCDI 0 5 2 74 885 6598 21911 41250

Date: 2022-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90175 17685 161 721 215 52 0 0
OW 30 557 75 701 247 10 0 0
VODI 0 264 31 560 652 52 0 0
ODI 0 145 15 263 923 176 0 0
CDI 0 74 12 132 854 827 27 25
VCDI 0 17 6 82 487 5480 21215 44100
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90174 17123 155 645 262 70 0 0
OW 30 828 60 613 252 24 0 0
VODI 1 474 45 602 723 76 6 0
ODI 0 168 11 244 555 209 24 0
CDI 0 98 17 197 738 577 67 101
VCDI 0 51 12 158 848 5641 21145 44024

Date: 2022-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89683 17620 155 560 199 17 0 0
OW 36 744 84 544 275 11 0 0
VODI 0 287 48 647 565 25 1 0
ODI 0 69 17 380 778 72 0 0
CDI 0 18 8 195 1218 534 48 15
VCDI 0 4 4 87 1450 7183 22411 41056
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89669 17184 151 559 312 24 0 0
OW 50 842 52 415 333 10 1 0
VODI 0 515 75 647 516 79 0 0
ODI 0 148 18 457 713 171 1 0
CDI 0 47 16 168 971 524 57 13
VCDI 0 6 4 167 1640 7034 22401 41058

Date: 2022-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88479 18304 155 508 135 17 0 0
OW 31 840 90 631 188 17 0 0
VODI 0 407 49 629 561 5 0 0
ODI 0 156 37 397 791 43 2 0
CDI 0 17 13 309 1067 375 54 10
VCDI 0 0 1 160 2076 10331 19657 40506
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88474 17672 157 554 304 46 1 0
OW 36 956 64 493 208 17 2 0
VODI 0 596 57 544 569 50 2 0
ODI 0 332 26 345 678 130 0 0
CDI 0 142 25 371 972 380 48 40
VCDI 0 26 16 327 2087 10165 19660 40476


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 25 Nov 2022 03:55:59 PM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy