Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2671 2569 22 103 124 60 0 0
OW 120 478 37 381 420 308 0 0
VODI 0 35 4 198 1020 712 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 505 1042 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 124 1364 319 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 40 1051 9636 8714
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2396 2164 15 88 29 83 0 0
OW 96 480 32 452 390 312 70 0
VODI 1 36 6 95 423 690 121 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 264 1308 240 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 47 964 732 28
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 606 9582 10328
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2182 2519 25 108 10 0 0 0
OW 0 347 23 277 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 192 16 235 203 82 3 0
ODI 0 19 4 74 269 494 28 1
CDI 0 0 0 0 230 1883 398 79
VCDI 0 0 0 0 41 2100 9860 10331
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1911 1738 28 254 32 0 0 0
OW 8 260 16 358 473 19 0 0
VODI 0 21 1 10 574 264 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 199 584 74 3
CDI 0 0 0 0 195 1068 356 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 141 2877 10218 10376
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1916 1830 37 367 132 0 0 0
OW 3 174 7 235 342 21 0 0
VODI 0 15 1 20 606 234 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 218 576 84 2
CDI 0 0 0 0 190 1198 369 24
VCDI 0 0 0 0 126 2783 10195 10377

Date: 2022-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1439 1767 15 40 0 0 0 0
OW 0 458 33 264 336 99 0 0
VODI 0 34 2 64 313 455 16 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 41 530 141 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 48 730 407 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 121 3689 10631 10391
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1439 1928 26 122 21 19 0 0
OW 0 315 23 179 333 155 0 0
VODI 0 16 1 68 292 507 20 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 47 478 53 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 70 721 423 8
VCDI 0 0 0 0 96 3623 10699 10398

Date: 2022-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1452 1336 21 82 5 0 0 0
OW 0 34 7 84 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 8 98 116 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 316 136 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 195 1621 357 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 2708 14226 9135
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1452 1373 27 139 46 1 0 0
OW 0 12 9 114 287 152 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 50 306 891 77 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 28 313 229 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 9 669 308 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 45 2441 13969 9135

Date: 2022-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2022-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 796 1631 12 71 23 0 0 0
OW 0 71 11 106 44 5 0 0
VODI 0 6 3 62 89 29 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 14 76 75 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 90 246 112 4
VCDI 0 0 0 3 61 2160 9625 16612
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 796 1629 16 108 19 0 0 0
OW 0 71 5 60 72 12 0 0
VODI 0 10 5 90 149 241 49 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 127 505 265 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 16 589 293 31
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1168 9135 16585


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