Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7351 7316 113 502 376 187 0 0
OW 4 576 80 787 145 109 0 0
VODI 0 89 24 426 644 126 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 95 634 227 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 497 581 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 192 2681 5167 16889
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7735 5909 64 319 278 184 0 0
OW 6 477 50 501 594 164 0 0
VODI 0 148 25 400 883 191 0 0
ODI 0 16 4 184 477 372 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 55 440 569 21 7
VCDI 0 0 0 0 394 2613 5309 17477
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6813 6527 49 273 102 7 0 0
OW 12 333 36 195 152 103 0 0
VODI 0 140 29 357 412 215 9 0
ODI 0 7 7 158 900 299 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 633 1379 68 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 232 3060 6146 17177
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6551 6223 32 196 64 0 0 0
OW 33 398 28 252 150 78 0 0
VODI 4 193 41 293 224 237 0 0
ODI 0 48 11 272 469 294 0 0
CDI 0 3 4 95 963 595 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 42 527 3453 6293 17793
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6519 6234 39 233 100 20 0 0
OW 68 360 26 227 115 110 0 0
VODI 1 190 25 269 226 216 0 0
ODI 0 75 21 243 489 280 0 0
CDI 0 6 5 125 895 527 7 0
VCDI 0 0 0 53 572 3504 6293 17793

Date: 2022-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6774 4958 28 111 93 7 0 0
OW 40 857 18 153 125 36 0 0
VODI 46 297 37 222 270 246 0 0
ODI 0 37 5 188 292 343 8 0
CDI 0 5 2 191 406 579 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 422 4133 6260 18643
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6785 5066 31 112 109 2 0 0
OW 31 608 17 169 125 61 0 0
VODI 44 412 33 205 247 296 0 0
ODI 0 58 7 175 266 291 8 0
CDI 0 10 2 173 366 536 19 0
VCDI 0 0 0 47 495 4158 6259 18643

Date: 2022-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6487 6337 38 124 56 2 0 0
OW 27 309 29 176 65 3 0 0
VODI 8 56 28 266 210 13 0 0
ODI 0 13 4 154 556 158 0 0
CDI 0 4 5 19 421 1099 13 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 205 4652 6799 17516
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6444 5410 21 78 42 3 0 0
OW 26 372 14 80 86 9 0 0
VODI 18 701 38 134 213 107 0 0
ODI 34 209 17 236 234 341 0 0
CDI 0 25 10 122 389 654 11 0
VCDI 0 2 4 103 549 4813 6801 17516

Date: 2022-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2022-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5410 6068 42 139 53 25 0 0
OW 0 497 34 242 50 15 0 0
VODI 0 335 15 282 197 32 0 0
ODI 0 153 9 176 243 81 8 0
CDI 1 35 7 57 379 350 33 0
VCDI 0 2 1 20 576 4486 10168 15645
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5408 5803 35 178 65 30 0 0
OW 2 374 23 103 67 25 0 0
VODI 0 261 14 225 147 46 6 0
ODI 0 127 20 162 188 91 12 0
CDI 1 149 10 103 197 291 49 0
VCDI 0 376 6 145 834 4506 10142 15645


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