Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-10-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93158 5388 31 106 116 68 0 0
OW 0 128 9 83 18 26 0 0
VODI 0 99 11 99 27 12 0 0
ODI 0 18 12 88 72 11 0 0
CDI 0 7 2 97 146 29 0 0
VCDI 0 2 1 54 335 863 3344 4640
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92279 6138 25 117 102 50 0 0
OW 2 139 7 67 59 39 0 0
VODI 0 95 12 72 28 24 0 0
ODI 0 24 8 98 64 15 0 0
CDI 0 5 2 98 151 34 0 0
VCDI 0 0 1 37 291 670 3672 4675
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92047 6261 31 155 95 22 0 0
OW 4 123 9 45 35 46 0 0
VODI 0 68 16 108 70 68 0 0
ODI 0 9 2 105 57 35 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 94 135 58 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 307 778 3261 5034
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91014 7031 47 170 171 44 0 0
OW 6 115 8 58 37 60 0 0
VODI 0 45 8 126 67 91 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 104 51 48 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 151 103 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 233 862 3296 5067
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91014 7037 45 167 178 49 0 0
OW 6 109 10 62 30 47 0 0
VODI 0 43 7 125 66 100 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 104 52 41 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 146 80 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 238 891 3293 5067

Date: 2022-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90527 7385 49 230 117 24 0 0
OW 7 164 17 55 44 44 0 0
VODI 0 103 7 101 59 69 0 0
ODI 0 51 5 81 75 50 1 0
CDI 0 48 6 62 150 82 33 0
VCDI 0 26 6 92 297 1198 3570 4265
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90527 7391 52 233 111 20 0 0
OW 7 161 12 53 51 38 0 0
VODI 0 106 10 93 55 68 0 0
ODI 0 50 3 84 75 60 1 0
CDI 0 47 6 67 137 64 30 0
VCDI 0 22 7 91 313 1217 3573 4265

Date: 2022-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90143 7766 71 355 72 13 0 0
OW 9 107 9 124 49 12 0 0
VODI 0 73 5 102 98 17 0 0
ODI 0 48 2 48 141 39 0 0
CDI 0 38 5 47 155 235 3 0
VCDI 0 54 6 81 190 761 3734 4488
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90143 7549 55 317 98 28 0 0
OW 9 220 14 92 40 31 0 0
VODI 0 116 11 70 54 44 0 0
ODI 0 56 2 99 90 58 0 0
CDI 0 57 8 75 147 81 4 0
VCDI 0 88 8 104 276 835 3733 4488

Date: 2022-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88661 9072 69 473 126 11 0 0
OW 12 123 11 126 62 11 0 0
VODI 0 76 9 98 74 16 0 0
ODI 0 46 0 63 83 30 0 0
CDI 0 54 4 55 162 71 0 0
VCDI 0 35 5 113 354 1269 3172 4554
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88664 8599 50 264 97 19 0 0
OW 9 412 19 264 104 19 0 0
VODI 0 173 11 51 32 29 0 0
ODI 0 88 5 67 54 44 0 0
CDI 0 62 6 130 141 73 0 0
VCDI 0 72 7 152 433 1224 3172 4554

Date: 2022-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88229 9116 60 379 128 9 0 0
OW 16 276 22 244 171 18 0 0
VODI 0 84 9 88 72 22 0 0
ODI 0 48 1 72 76 25 2 0
CDI 0 42 5 60 160 62 7 0
VCDI 0 66 8 98 303 1065 3401 4656
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88199 8444 37 194 94 23 0 0
OW 38 509 20 213 45 24 0 0
VODI 8 417 23 186 211 20 3 0
ODI 0 97 10 82 33 37 4 0
CDI 0 59 6 132 167 99 1 0
VCDI 0 106 9 134 360 998 3402 4656


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