Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-10-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10137 7665 102 542 209 0 0 0
OW 33 848 57 520 249 5 0 0
VODI 2 364 16 311 513 74 0 0
ODI 0 79 12 171 655 218 0 0
CDI 0 6 4 103 370 579 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 28 299 2191 6534 12947
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10332 6462 97 487 330 0 0 0
OW 34 733 52 570 461 5 0 0
VODI 0 377 11 323 775 103 0 0
ODI 0 108 10 102 387 266 0 0
CDI 0 13 6 89 304 755 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 47 289 2344 6608 13386
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9415 7263 112 581 301 22 0 0
OW 3 380 58 553 195 9 0 0
VODI 0 61 20 343 651 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 844 277 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 383 1070 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 157 2516 5952 14540
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7632 7850 106 425 358 200 0 0
OW 4 593 82 601 123 65 0 0
VODI 0 107 23 461 555 86 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 122 719 132 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 599 682 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 191 2393 5944 15767
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7632 7949 118 500 370 196 0 0
OW 4 467 63 494 129 61 0 0
VODI 0 134 30 512 593 81 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 120 740 139 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 494 665 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 219 2416 5941 15767

Date: 2022-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7866 6183 84 362 325 198 0 0
OW 5 566 59 669 533 112 0 0
VODI 0 133 24 439 704 139 0 0
ODI 0 10 3 115 605 286 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 513 503 4 5
VCDI 0 0 0 14 409 2618 5261 17082
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7866 6255 93 508 474 216 0 0
OW 5 487 47 503 449 83 0 0
VODI 0 141 25 453 702 147 0 0
ODI 0 9 5 127 563 340 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 456 489 4 7
VCDI 0 0 0 10 445 2581 5261 17080

Date: 2022-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7469 6087 40 318 106 9 0 0
OW 7 346 45 291 140 88 0 0
VODI 0 98 29 592 570 123 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 156 1200 461 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 560 1368 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 108 2546 6042 17048
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7468 5952 42 412 283 211 0 0
OW 8 341 33 329 463 219 1 0
VODI 0 199 26 403 720 501 8 0
ODI 0 33 11 106 415 509 2 0
CDI 0 9 3 88 354 532 13 0
VCDI 0 0 2 20 449 2623 6030 17048

Date: 2022-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6683 6402 46 227 68 1 0 0
OW 24 342 40 221 168 70 0 0
VODI 0 231 21 294 324 198 0 0
ODI 0 32 8 163 698 313 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 786 1031 34 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 345 3245 6097 17693
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6562 6143 48 271 106 109 0 0
OW 145 494 28 228 278 234 1 0
VODI 0 297 20 266 698 513 17 0
ODI 0 65 14 81 516 808 50 0
CDI 0 8 2 53 335 615 60 0
VCDI 0 0 3 59 456 2579 6011 17693

Date: 2022-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6671 5534 38 197 74 0 0 0
OW 65 659 22 221 163 33 0 0
VODI 11 173 35 241 288 236 0 0
ODI 0 38 14 273 348 319 0 0
CDI 0 2 5 128 732 535 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 689 3574 6279 18238
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6668 4961 29 163 80 47 0 0
OW 26 593 14 120 142 145 0 0
VODI 53 731 39 386 530 404 0 0
ODI 0 94 17 252 685 915 14 0
CDI 0 25 10 96 411 734 73 9
VCDI 0 2 5 73 446 2452 6193 18229


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPageSector.sh Fri 11 Nov 2022 02:59:27 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy