Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-10-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93895 5183 24 150 122 49 0 0
OW 0 151 12 60 8 5 0 0
VODI 0 93 10 103 37 6 0 0
ODI 0 39 7 80 70 5 0 0
CDI 0 30 3 76 124 80 0 0
VCDI 0 8 2 56 257 1148 3828 3379
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93681 5133 27 140 166 53 0 0
OW 0 127 9 66 28 4 0 0
VODI 0 92 10 75 69 6 0 0
ODI 0 46 8 67 73 14 0 0
CDI 0 22 8 61 157 78 0 0
VCDI 0 4 0 46 212 1117 4345 3156
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93019 5626 41 161 225 5 0 0
OW 0 130 13 78 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 10 109 73 4 0 0
ODI 0 37 5 81 105 14 0 0
CDI 0 14 2 61 186 108 5 0
VCDI 0 0 2 39 210 1250 4569 2796
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93310 5288 30 155 164 8 0 0
OW 0 130 11 59 28 3 0 0
VODI 0 90 13 120 35 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 5 101 66 5 0 0
CDI 0 16 4 92 158 23 0 0
VCDI 0 6 2 69 370 979 3466 4266
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93310 5305 31 161 174 11 0 0
OW 0 119 11 63 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 12 120 35 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 5 95 77 5 0 0
CDI 0 12 4 99 144 24 0 0
VCDI 0 6 2 58 368 978 3466 4266

Date: 2022-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93008 5469 26 104 83 69 0 0
OW 0 142 7 68 48 40 0 0
VODI 0 100 13 83 22 23 0 0
ODI 0 33 18 78 60 14 0 0
CDI 0 5 3 103 132 34 0 0
VCDI 0 0 2 62 314 785 3720 4432
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93008 5485 30 126 127 99 0 0
OW 0 136 4 48 6 21 0 0
VODI 0 97 13 87 25 15 0 0
ODI 0 26 17 84 64 13 0 0
CDI 0 5 4 101 126 41 0 0
VCDI 0 0 1 52 311 776 3720 4432

Date: 2022-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91994 6396 39 143 79 31 0 0
OW 4 117 11 64 33 49 0 0
VODI 0 66 18 107 61 73 0 0
ODI 0 10 4 99 80 37 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 146 73 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 256 772 3663 4579
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91994 6309 37 152 123 146 0 0
OW 4 131 9 48 20 17 0 0
VODI 0 124 13 65 35 20 0 0
ODI 0 20 10 92 57 16 0 0
CDI 0 5 3 104 147 62 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 48 273 774 3663 4579

Date: 2022-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91571 6624 41 170 117 35 0 0
OW 6 100 8 50 30 57 0 0
VODI 0 70 11 101 70 80 0 0
ODI 0 7 4 103 51 42 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 87 121 68 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 268 653 3406 5134
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91572 6516 39 168 130 136 0 0
OW 5 155 4 60 48 40 0 0
VODI 0 96 12 59 42 36 0 0
ODI 0 29 5 102 53 28 0 0
CDI 0 5 4 116 122 61 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 262 634 3406 5134

Date: 2022-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90341 7591 43 228 153 29 0 0
OW 6 138 14 68 41 57 1 0
VODI 0 85 3 102 76 81 0 0
ODI 0 41 6 72 75 44 3 0
CDI 0 10 6 69 167 96 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 43 239 990 3458 4698
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90341 7519 40 207 158 102 0 0
OW 6 135 12 82 52 78 1 0
VODI 0 97 6 78 53 15 3 0
ODI 0 57 4 64 62 30 8 0
CDI 0 36 4 62 141 62 2 0
VCDI 0 21 6 89 285 1010 3474 4698


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