Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-10-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 111585 20123 186 772 210 49 0 0
OW 30 1553 143 1103 711 50 0 0
VODI 24 262 51 736 1657 746 7 0
ODI 0 45 11 167 822 1365 74 0
CDI 0 30 3 116 352 2171 468 0
VCDI 0 8 2 61 443 3602 17430 19880
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109907 19895 176 690 262 53 0 0
OW 30 1931 169 1267 613 44 0 0
VODI 13 302 60 922 1634 538 0 0
ODI 10 62 14 171 880 1468 28 0
CDI 0 22 8 112 495 2095 379 0
VCDI 0 4 0 51 416 4320 18187 19820
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 106788 21473 189 818 394 5 0 0
OW 13 1481 156 839 309 5 0 0
VODI 1 259 53 1146 1273 97 0 0
ODI 0 44 7 200 1747 653 0 0
CDI 0 14 2 76 818 3318 263 0
VCDI 0 0 2 39 364 5026 19451 19725
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107612 18573 182 903 349 8 0 0
OW 25 1896 141 869 396 14 0 0
VODI 1 814 58 978 1296 109 0 0
ODI 0 141 27 530 1375 543 0 0
CDI 0 18 4 293 1124 1770 47 5
VCDI 0 6 2 77 740 6670 18057 21395
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107613 19048 202 999 386 11 0 0
OW 21 1511 109 725 340 4 0 0
VODI 4 760 73 1059 1280 152 0 0
ODI 0 110 24 582 1496 517 12 0
CDI 0 13 4 222 1058 1758 100 5
VCDI 0 6 2 63 720 6672 17992 21395

Date: 2022-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107397 16831 158 788 370 69 0 0
OW 36 1790 146 1324 680 57 0 0
VODI 0 917 61 803 1417 260 0 0
ODI 0 141 39 500 1210 769 37 0
CDI 0 19 10 248 915 1826 175 0
VCDI 0 0 2 109 721 5709 17866 23648
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107409 17055 193 948 515 99 0 0
OW 24 1662 108 1119 592 39 0 0
VODI 0 880 71 884 1395 274 1 0
ODI 0 88 32 523 1222 803 52 0
CDI 0 13 11 204 850 1826 188 0
VCDI 0 0 1 94 739 5649 17837 23648

Date: 2022-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105267 18197 193 845 329 46 0 0
OW 7 1290 189 1111 212 63 0 0
VODI 0 267 62 1469 1172 114 0 0
ODI 0 10 7 226 2533 516 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 126 743 3586 159 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 451 4521 18355 24957
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105267 17410 211 1095 494 187 0 0
OW 7 1585 122 853 560 80 0 0
VODI 0 700 91 1244 1740 473 5 0
ODI 0 54 18 309 1157 1036 68 0
CDI 0 15 7 186 750 1772 248 0
VCDI 0 0 2 115 739 5298 18193 24957

Date: 2022-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103762 16696 174 1135 698 180 0 0
OW 27 1073 144 1219 704 116 0 0
VODI 3 176 38 1075 1708 262 0 0
ODI 0 8 4 188 1710 773 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 106 889 2450 334 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 489 4464 18428 27976
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103648 15960 176 1281 963 330 0 0
OW 130 1335 82 864 884 155 0 0
VODI 14 572 79 1090 1796 716 56 0
ODI 0 73 14 277 1275 1363 238 0
CDI 0 13 9 181 580 1625 622 0
VCDI 0 0 0 46 700 4056 17869 27976

Date: 2022-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100363 17476 178 833 653 276 0 0
OW 130 1192 131 1236 606 474 1 0
VODI 0 209 31 726 1740 919 0 0
ODI 0 41 7 173 1214 1313 22 0
CDI 0 10 6 103 788 2041 353 0
VCDI 0 0 0 48 471 4722 18261 30301
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100254 17141 193 1094 934 487 0 0
OW 230 1198 70 712 650 644 1 0
VODI 9 459 69 846 1709 1234 87 0
ODI 0 73 11 209 957 1676 373 0
CDI 0 36 4 130 594 1766 788 0
VCDI 0 21 6 128 628 3938 17388 30301


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 04 Nov 2022 03:00:42 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy