Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-10-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8866 7711 27 123 0 0 0 0
OW 0 899 59 372 245 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 47 366 553 49 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 133 368 255 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 341 1021 258 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 3192 6872 155
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8230 7783 20 70 1 0 0 0
OW 3 1006 83 418 125 1 0 0
VODI 0 97 32 412 654 95 0 0
ODI 0 4 1 118 363 358 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 304 691 208 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 1987 8188 790
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7706 8391 37 84 0 0 0 0
OW 3 529 74 361 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 32 585 368 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 60 936 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 361 952 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 2013 6869 2561
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7526 7794 42 79 0 0 0 0
OW 13 724 70 349 91 0 0 0
VODI 0 157 39 515 350 46 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 132 735 127 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 492 704 51 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 86 3777 6611 1569
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7518 7788 51 107 0 0 0 0
OW 21 715 57 301 57 0 0 0
VODI 0 172 43 507 377 47 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 160 613 130 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 615 734 49 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 92 3743 6613 1569

Date: 2022-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6305 7522 50 145 19 0 0 0
OW 238 1065 60 337 144 0 0 0
VODI 14 141 32 481 656 71 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 33 744 228 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 340 613 66 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 26 3041 8658 1047
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6415 7522 55 141 33 0 0 0
OW 128 898 49 346 100 0 0 0
VODI 14 308 38 462 711 85 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 635 261 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 408 580 61 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 42 3027 8664 1047

Date: 2022-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6701 6676 50 208 0 0 0 0
OW 28 887 58 434 54 0 0 0
VODI 15 65 27 519 537 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 1072 182 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 265 1221 35 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 2318 7982 2663
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6303 6422 67 296 44 0 0 0
OW 346 698 31 420 232 8 0 0
VODI 91 486 25 360 720 252 0 0
ODI 4 22 12 68 522 414 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 306 574 99 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 154 2474 7899 2663

Date: 2022-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5800 6533 46 183 32 0 0 0
OW 16 940 93 499 169 2 0 0
VODI 20 196 25 595 743 65 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 752 371 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 283 898 262 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 1492 7761 4242
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5749 6055 60 342 109 1 0 0
OW 54 817 55 380 305 30 0 0
VODI 33 747 41 442 675 352 11 0
ODI 0 50 8 116 555 404 122 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 323 514 250 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 1527 7642 4242

Date: 2022-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5528 6204 31 110 9 0 0 0
OW 25 980 74 444 236 36 0 0
VODI 24 133 25 436 809 412 7 0
ODI 0 6 4 62 441 616 60 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 98 831 268 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 175 1371 7486 5098
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5440 5755 52 280 205 60 0 0
OW 79 763 44 271 338 147 0 0
VODI 57 745 26 326 512 621 53 0
ODI 1 52 12 149 438 639 270 0
CDI 0 8 0 67 151 447 448 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 124 1352 7050 5098


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