Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-10-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16156 7600 97 330 204 29 0 0
OW 0 529 43 288 265 49 0 0
VODI 0 93 22 325 551 138 0 0
ODI 0 7 0 75 651 248 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 444 867 66 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 58 4114 11677 940
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15855 7172 98 346 185 0 0 0
OW 0 756 47 329 324 10 0 0
VODI 0 91 23 342 583 129 0 0
ODI 0 5 0 63 701 295 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 204 955 58 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 3596 9031 4630
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14824 8670 118 361 69 0 0 0
OW 0 169 57 384 121 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 9 281 541 11 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 61 809 206 6 3
CDI 0 0 0 3 509 1062 77 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 2519 8970 5943
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14599 8555 88 221 107 0 0 0
OW 21 489 62 321 91 0 0 0
VODI 0 78 24 385 448 19 0 0
ODI 0 8 4 96 643 231 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 584 916 50 4
VCDI 0 0 0 0 33 3181 8212 6391
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14612 8685 92 250 121 0 0 0
OW 8 366 60 282 77 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 25 404 444 21 0 0
ODI 0 5 1 88 683 326 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 546 889 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 35 3111 8208 6395

Date: 2022-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14945 8081 67 165 88 0 0 0
OW 25 928 64 312 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 169 42 540 286 0 0 0
ODI 0 24 6 318 537 34 0 0
CDI 0 4 1 59 1047 232 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 45 834 5484 9802 1686
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14953 8178 72 190 93 0 0 0
OW 17 776 44 218 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 227 58 558 278 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 5 357 590 60 0 0
CDI 0 5 1 62 928 295 26 0
VCDI 0 0 0 54 906 5395 9787 1686

Date: 2022-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15147 8028 52 217 78 0 0 0
OW 1 432 98 381 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 24 650 454 0 15 0
ODI 0 1 1 56 1362 89 26 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 326 1246 88 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 101 2321 7257 7321
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15134 7350 54 242 101 0 0 0
OW 14 852 63 224 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 312 56 618 455 44 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 166 752 151 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 643 596 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 359 2865 7362 7321

Date: 2022-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14050 8216 93 396 53 10 0 0
OW 6 348 45 570 255 26 0 0
VODI 0 36 28 256 829 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 47 939 300 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 532 997 48 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 1354 6371 9999
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14053 7619 72 292 94 31 0 0
OW 3 759 42 358 108 8 0 0
VODI 0 222 49 526 711 51 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 91 744 332 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 685 531 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 304 1757 6327 9999

Date: 2022-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12162 8736 131 512 79 0 0 0
OW 5 422 57 599 467 9 0 0
VODI 0 36 16 197 811 328 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 25 311 744 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 130 1260 200 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 1083 6116 11403
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12167 8162 97 392 107 2 0 0
OW 0 851 65 432 191 26 0 0
VODI 0 168 38 453 743 145 0 0
ODI 0 13 4 56 558 609 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 193 938 285 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 1704 6014 11393


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