Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9569 7799 44 145 10 0 0 0
OW 0 941 50 263 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 207 39 441 447 60 0 0
ODI 0 5 5 91 481 323 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 273 1729 630 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 1615 6349 480
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9559 7111 33 125 37 0 0 0
OW 0 1224 50 307 94 4 0 0
VODI 0 330 37 368 452 54 0 0
ODI 0 21 12 98 454 350 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 303 1110 401 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 4547 4916 11
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9554 7946 45 108 19 0 0 0
OW 0 630 77 410 40 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 30 462 308 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 525 105 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 435 1522 110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 5176 4451 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9201 7672 29 162 0 0 0 0
OW 0 755 68 501 105 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 39 385 518 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 115 463 149 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 340 1291 169 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 3315 6706 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9201 8042 57 323 10 0 0 0
OW 0 408 54 409 134 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 25 344 543 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 89 423 190 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 315 1291 153 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 3249 6722 0

Date: 2022-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8232 8114 23 93 5 0 0 0
OW 0 908 67 418 218 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 35 381 537 130 0 0
ODI 0 10 6 98 343 338 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 270 773 344 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 2007 7961 619
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8232 8459 39 217 49 0 0 0
OW 0 574 54 353 237 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 32 331 543 153 0 0
ODI 0 11 6 87 273 408 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 247 712 456 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 1975 7848 619

Date: 2022-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8131 8066 26 71 0 0 0 0
OW 8 553 78 307 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 38 655 325 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 42 1037 33 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 259 1108 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 2410 7393 1427
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8139 8039 49 189 52 6 0 0
OW 0 495 58 398 202 10 0 0
VODI 0 138 32 364 623 64 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 111 407 401 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 280 562 428 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 74 2509 6992 1427

Date: 2022-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7689 8022 45 79 0 0 0 0
OW 1 651 61 346 58 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 41 477 470 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 790 149 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 347 825 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 19 2531 7294 1971
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7679 7701 57 221 92 18 0 0
OW 11 823 43 329 193 52 0 0
VODI 0 227 43 280 698 133 9 0
ODI 0 16 4 133 342 428 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 38 227 564 360 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 132 2320 6903 1971

Date: 2022-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7162 7613 36 105 0 0 0 0
OW 30 832 76 391 47 0 0 0
VODI 1 110 41 611 433 45 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 87 737 132 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 587 516 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 3547 8223 620
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7090 7495 70 237 128 15 0 0
OW 100 900 46 332 162 72 0 0
VODI 3 159 32 485 653 215 31 0
ODI 0 1 4 100 467 267 92 0
CDI 0 0 1 37 299 512 219 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 138 3159 7938 620


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