Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96371 3286 32 112 6 0 0 0
OW 0 125 27 160 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 4 301 79 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 205 605 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 139 718 2796 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 124 3120 827 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96091 3389 32 108 0 0 0 0
OW 0 124 25 172 3 1 0 0
VODI 0 29 8 266 116 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 74 537 99 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 39 710 2614 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 76 3168 1354 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96001 3445 24 80 1 0 0 0
OW 0 148 29 101 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 14 285 47 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 92 633 119 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 515 2673 150 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 3565 1109 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96161 3181 33 113 0 0 0 0
OW 0 145 21 101 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 11 217 84 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 0 103 468 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 798 2226 334 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3515 1514 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96161 3190 32 129 8 0 0 0
OW 0 118 21 100 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 10 171 84 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 131 350 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 904 2330 382 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 3415 1466 0

Date: 2022-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95692 3542 33 134 0 0 0 0
OW 0 145 12 96 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 21 194 83 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 147 342 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 863 1689 327 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 1830 3853 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95692 3516 35 147 2 0 0 0
OW 0 140 10 90 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 78 18 157 82 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 3 164 258 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 884 1590 524 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 57 1929 3656 0

Date: 2022-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96044 3320 15 50 3 0 0 0
OW 0 146 25 118 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 16 299 114 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 29 701 29 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 395 1162 311 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1622 4669 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96044 3236 21 87 8 0 0 0
OW 0 148 10 83 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 91 21 135 85 5 0 0
ODI 0 8 4 162 146 17 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 644 960 349 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 299 1832 4631 0

Date: 2022-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95864 3586 23 66 0 0 0 0
OW 0 134 25 144 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 16 225 153 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 69 526 23 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 438 479 171 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 203 1714 4605 586
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95864 3385 25 69 3 0 0 0
OW 0 186 8 93 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 129 18 95 93 3 0 0
ODI 0 34 11 158 110 20 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 89 539 309 203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 573 1884 4573 586

Date: 2022-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96092 3572 22 72 0 0 0 0
OW 0 166 17 155 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 19 262 71 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 199 184 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 69 366 200 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 395 3825 3318 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96092 3334 19 62 0 0 0 0
OW 0 189 9 89 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 189 10 93 45 0 0 0
ODI 0 85 16 135 46 3 0 0
CDI 0 13 6 271 232 149 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 107 703 3879 3318 0


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