Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9305 8051 22 61 0 0 0 0
OW 0 855 72 370 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 241 72 1092 398 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 352 3565 901 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 1483 4636 28 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 542 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9872 7420 21 18 15 0 0 0
OW 0 1031 67 214 85 0 0 0
VODI 0 362 76 739 543 11 0 0
ODI 0 16 9 396 2429 1104 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 765 5699 309 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 861 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9932 8698 31 33 0 0 0 0
OW 0 387 106 371 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 24 852 353 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 106 2589 220 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 772 6678 352 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 534 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10680 7908 7 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 663 96 247 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 120 56 861 226 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 6 340 1767 366 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 729 6928 202 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 850 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10680 7912 22 60 0 0 0 0
OW 0 624 70 237 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 154 67 731 209 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 6 425 1395 203 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 1130 7136 202 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 805 0 0

Date: 2022-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10699 7698 7 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 798 57 224 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 241 83 727 235 1 0 0
ODI 0 16 9 321 1099 579 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 640 6832 494 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 964 332 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10699 7739 23 72 0 0 0 0
OW 0 717 33 213 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 284 90 616 186 0 0 0
ODI 0 13 10 374 929 283 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 841 7068 492 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1025 334 0

Date: 2022-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10151 8177 27 57 1 0 0 0
OW 0 609 71 218 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 41 857 183 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 72 1138 33 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 251 5883 1005 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1391 1807 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10151 8029 35 130 5 0 0 0
OW 0 609 39 292 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 211 62 572 268 16 0 0
ODI 0 14 5 199 848 197 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 436 5817 1676 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1277 1136 0

Date: 2022-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9621 8362 37 90 3 0 0 0
OW 0 711 59 254 40 2 0 0
VODI 0 112 39 669 312 32 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 73 788 200 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 247 3232 1404 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1344 4448 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9621 8141 42 155 15 0 0 0
OW 0 743 45 255 75 1 0 0
VODI 0 257 40 466 297 25 0 0
ODI 0 41 6 171 544 270 2 0
CDI 0 4 3 40 449 3040 1679 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 1474 4171 0

Date: 2022-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9569 7799 44 145 10 0 0 0
OW 0 941 50 263 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 207 39 441 447 60 0 0
ODI 0 5 5 91 481 323 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 273 1729 630 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 1615 6349 480
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9569 7895 64 253 59 2 0 0
OW 0 657 36 252 82 13 0 0
VODI 0 284 21 265 426 117 0 0
ODI 0 78 8 94 286 301 34 0
CDI 0 38 9 93 386 1466 987 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 1828 5967 480


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