Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-09-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123915 19466 143 557 54 5 0 0
OW 0 1753 139 879 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 491 119 2298 908 21 0 0
ODI 0 6 8 1044 5092 1538 12 0
CDI 0 2 1 184 3973 9176 1048 0
VCDI 0 0 1 9 216 7743 5469 757
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124475 18709 130 450 54 0 0 0
OW 0 2141 141 658 93 1 0 0
VODI 0 656 131 1914 1015 22 0 0
ODI 0 20 13 922 4224 1309 4 0
CDI 0 1 0 106 3251 10552 982 0
VCDI 0 0 2 12 120 8181 5546 1213
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123974 21164 149 384 49 3 0 0
OW 0 915 197 800 103 0 0 0
VODI 0 104 56 1999 832 30 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 358 5325 596 0 0
CDI 0 2 2 11 1773 11806 905 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 53 7634 7488 330
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 125306 19517 99 340 26 1 0 0
OW 0 1473 168 589 87 0 0 0
VODI 0 265 109 1975 585 0 0 0
ODI 0 8 6 683 3534 792 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 2020 11450 1022 0
VCDI 0 2 2 7 30 7530 8747 662
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 125306 19568 123 455 53 1 0 0
OW 0 1385 139 594 84 0 0 0
VODI 0 300 112 1652 585 3 0 0
ODI 0 10 8 883 2848 520 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 2691 11809 1005 0
VCDI 0 2 2 7 21 7440 8764 662

Date: 2022-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 125288 18906 100 355 49 1 0 0
OW 3 1842 105 528 108 4 0 0
VODI 0 584 162 1698 585 57 0 0
ODI 0 20 13 844 2176 919 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 1944 10531 1286 0
VCDI 0 2 1 7 32 5054 12115 1708
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 125283 18827 127 494 91 1 0 0
OW 8 1802 70 452 134 8 0 0
VODI 0 706 166 1449 496 64 0 0
ODI 0 17 17 1011 1832 578 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 2263 10572 1454 0
VCDI 0 2 1 7 78 5343 11947 1708

Date: 2022-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124566 19984 125 324 36 2 0 0
OW 0 1226 158 638 114 0 0 0
VODI 0 133 86 2062 591 14 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 177 2772 173 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 809 8952 1356 0
VCDI 0 0 1 4 33 4993 15961 1751
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124564 18997 139 479 163 6 0 0
OW 2 1619 82 543 187 44 0 0
VODI 0 698 132 1430 624 128 0 0
ODI 0 30 18 709 1489 580 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 1565 8314 2511 0
VCDI 0 0 1 4 327 5062 14797 1751

Date: 2022-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123577 20144 150 579 125 4 0 0
OW 0 1356 124 752 212 2 0 0
VODI 0 182 72 1560 1012 58 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 246 2115 338 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 1123 5103 1710 0
VCDI 0 0 1 6 267 4364 18473 3380
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123577 19031 157 639 245 6 0 0
OW 0 1762 71 637 267 38 0 0
VODI 0 773 88 1075 872 140 10 0
ODI 0 110 26 641 1273 438 45 0
CDI 0 7 5 147 1559 4774 2274 0
VCDI 0 0 1 15 638 4473 17854 3380

Date: 2022-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124082 18524 137 570 162 4 0 0
OW 0 2014 105 780 212 2 0 0
VODI 0 373 89 1443 904 118 0 0
ODI 0 12 6 439 1385 487 10 0
CDI 0 0 1 86 948 3133 736 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 428 7474 18358 4020
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 124082 18146 156 731 371 9 0 0
OW 0 1697 73 628 227 84 0 0
VODI 0 851 62 939 784 302 8 0
ODI 0 178 32 540 840 549 99 0
CDI 0 51 15 373 1070 2935 1458 2
VCDI 0 0 0 113 747 7339 17539 4018


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