Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96709 3132 30 116 8 0 0 0
OW 0 121 21 155 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 9 196 174 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 528 154 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 907 2118 1304 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1896 1374 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96633 3099 27 133 8 0 0 0
OW 0 162 21 139 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 14 253 116 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 84 573 68 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 91 967 2808 142 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 62 2054 1572 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96564 3272 23 109 1 0 0 0
OW 0 81 31 161 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 6 267 116 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 168 812 8 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 71 612 3064 176 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 2017 1522 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96168 3546 27 119 8 0 0 0
OW 0 110 38 157 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 4 303 81 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 233 659 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 149 742 2842 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 161 2383 1272 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96168 3569 39 144 10 0 0 0
OW 0 83 25 166 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 6 279 92 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 231 598 3 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 141 809 2801 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 142 2421 1272 0

Date: 2022-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96083 3489 29 121 2 0 0 0
OW 0 128 26 159 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 4 288 95 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 103 657 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 106 744 2655 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 89 3264 991 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96083 3519 30 142 2 0 0 0
OW 0 96 23 158 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 5 262 121 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 112 563 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 96 809 2545 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 88 3374 991 0

Date: 2022-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96219 3244 22 84 2 0 0 0
OW 0 140 35 116 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 5 345 60 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 78 965 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 476 2978 126 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 35 2621 1476 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96219 3247 31 133 9 0 0 0
OW 0 110 22 133 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 9 235 111 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 86 491 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 74 875 2131 122 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 51 3468 1480 0

Date: 2022-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95964 3450 31 95 0 0 0 0
OW 0 138 19 106 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 14 244 67 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 115 433 79 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 600 2471 417 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 4145 657 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95964 3365 34 142 24 0 0 0
OW 0 135 10 87 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 12 187 67 10 0 0
ODI 0 24 8 111 244 49 0 0
CDI 0 3 0 38 757 1707 310 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 4929 764 0

Date: 2022-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95781 3494 35 130 1 0 0 0
OW 0 144 15 89 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 14 213 84 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 123 427 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 858 1925 296 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 2855 2527 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95781 3423 36 169 15 0 0 0
OW 0 127 10 74 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 108 11 150 94 0 0 0
ODI 0 21 9 114 266 4 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 53 794 1229 208 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 205 3548 2615 0


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