Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-08

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9993 6708 8 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 846 88 203 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 252 78 1670 423 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 9 486 5103 1392 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 93 1361 2556 234 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 490 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9618 6887 10 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 948 71 145 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 370 94 1602 246 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 16 747 5006 625 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 142 2327 2533 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 78 565 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9672 7729 32 41 0 0 0 0
OW 0 587 121 376 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 37 1700 271 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 416 5099 564 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1684 3221 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 405 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9311 8035 32 46 0 0 0 0
OW 0 779 94 361 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 220 67 1216 353 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 359 4090 728 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1810 4069 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 496 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9311 8045 43 102 3 0 0 0
OW 0 640 68 282 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 346 80 1079 285 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 521 3936 847 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2027 3725 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 721 0 0

Date: 2022-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9380 7936 17 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 949 63 332 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 328 78 870 489 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 11 374 3006 980 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 1162 5163 176 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 29 674 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9380 7964 29 123 0 0 0 0
OW 0 800 43 276 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 446 90 751 394 0 0 0
ODI 0 12 7 476 2826 1296 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1424 4696 177 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 34 825 0 0

Date: 2022-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9835 8626 35 38 0 0 0 0
OW 0 436 111 370 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 21 967 279 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 85 2966 131 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 649 6901 187 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 395 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9835 7490 24 63 3 0 0 0
OW 0 919 41 185 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 644 84 664 368 7 0 0
ODI 0 39 18 538 1985 1014 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 1428 5221 187 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 71 1185 0 0

Date: 2022-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10063 8570 22 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 538 99 289 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 38 915 243 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 233 2277 230 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 713 6857 268 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 620 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10063 7300 13 45 3 0 0 0
OW 0 1013 40 149 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 783 75 588 352 5 0 0
ODI 0 72 34 621 1389 875 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 58 1418 5470 268 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 1357 0 0

Date: 2022-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10696 7815 9 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 747 78 225 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 208 70 785 212 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 7 392 1507 370 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 735 6950 176 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 1063 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10696 6580 19 42 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1107 20 119 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 941 78 482 302 13 0 0
ODI 0 148 47 655 820 870 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 117 1268 5698 176 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 1802 0 0


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