Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-09-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95842 3815 23 139 11 0 0 0
OW 0 143 26 134 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 4 279 123 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 90 447 108 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1669 2269 97 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 2093 1724 14
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96416 3219 20 128 13 0 0 0
OW 0 167 22 102 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 13 261 89 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 109 442 76 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 1270 2636 119 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2197 1700 30
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96135 3559 22 137 5 0 0 0
OW 0 126 19 111 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 20 15 263 79 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 92 677 60 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 37 737 3505 8 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2531 942 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96213 3622 23 89 18 0 0 0
OW 0 140 16 108 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 13 194 192 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 541 207 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 787 3041 469 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 2071 1273 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96213 3646 23 107 21 0 0 0
OW 0 119 23 118 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 6 162 192 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 22 488 238 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 834 2897 339 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 2184 1397 0

Date: 2022-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96810 3025 20 100 1 0 0 0
OW 0 161 19 140 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 13 261 111 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 79 553 83 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 82 914 2401 816 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 28 1896 1536 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96810 3046 19 106 1 0 0 0
OW 0 141 24 154 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 8 240 98 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 80 506 110 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 82 963 2321 748 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 34 1949 1595 0

Date: 2022-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96329 3466 29 98 20 0 0 0
OW 0 101 27 138 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 5 274 117 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 108 958 40 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 723 2864 350 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 1644 1719 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96329 3360 28 118 46 0 0 0
OW 0 163 19 135 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 10 203 158 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 89 492 99 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 102 1031 2292 248 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 111 2157 1821 0

Date: 2022-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96178 3604 28 131 8 0 0 0
OW 0 70 31 174 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 5 275 111 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 165 773 1 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 107 671 2913 207 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 140 2452 1028 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96178 3453 29 149 14 0 0 0
OW 0 154 18 143 18 0 0 0
VODI 0 70 10 229 122 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 7 108 407 38 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 210 951 1790 100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 205 3538 1135 0

Date: 2022-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96371 3286 32 112 6 0 0 0
OW 0 125 27 160 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 4 301 79 0 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 205 605 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 139 718 2796 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 124 3120 827 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96371 3166 31 138 18 0 0 0
OW 0 159 18 131 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 97 11 244 74 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 6 151 322 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 219 902 1481 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 214 4410 827 0


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