Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-25

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8099 6591 36 57 0 0 0 0
OW 0 564 54 290 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 274 52 1240 894 12 0 0
ODI 0 17 6 400 4115 2492 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 1157 4176 1110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 388 6
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8313 6480 29 62 0 0 0 0
OW 0 704 62 364 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 415 67 1271 1083 69 0 0
ODI 0 23 8 509 4051 2246 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 1256 4268 384 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 100 242 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8414 7419 19 50 0 0 0 0
OW 0 504 101 315 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 85 44 1888 577 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 275 4907 301 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1858 4878 38 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 117 284 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8238 7664 14 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 685 90 230 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 304 102 1961 507 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 609 4646 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 22 3843 2615 128 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 348 1 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8238 7800 33 63 0 0 0 0
OW 0 605 75 266 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 248 96 1870 643 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 630 4307 81 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 4040 2597 113 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 326 16 0

Date: 2022-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8379 7582 8 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 901 65 172 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 411 128 1931 453 0 0 0
ODI 0 10 5 825 4273 154 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 3820 2292 150 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 349 113 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8379 7784 15 43 0 0 0 0
OW 0 729 67 215 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 384 120 1962 523 0 0 0
ODI 0 7 4 721 3939 186 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 4086 2288 144 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 321 119 0

Date: 2022-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9101 7606 14 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 736 110 269 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 93 70 1979 340 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 170 7184 314 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1140 2582 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 304 20 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9101 7082 19 29 0 0 0 0
OW 0 848 39 192 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 497 130 1657 651 76 0 0
ODI 0 8 6 556 3929 347 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 4080 2304 25 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 475 20 0

Date: 2022-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9898 6951 26 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 781 79 223 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 184 87 1595 562 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 5 383 5896 1171 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1041 2695 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 448 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9898 6249 12 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 916 45 146 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 697 118 1439 726 29 0 0
ODI 0 63 22 619 3490 563 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 3286 3144 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 578 0 0

Date: 2022-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9993 6708 8 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 846 88 203 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 252 78 1670 423 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 9 486 5103 1392 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 93 1361 2556 234 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 490 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9993 6082 8 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 908 42 173 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 775 107 1518 553 21 0 0
ODI 0 74 26 741 2965 714 23 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 3369 3038 246 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 665 0 0


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