Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94774 5086 39 152 8 0 0 0
OW 0 200 17 155 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 15 292 195 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 69 444 206 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 274 3360 1886 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 319 1459 63
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96478 3371 22 129 44 0 0 0
OW 12 144 8 108 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 16 222 273 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 72 335 261 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 332 2561 2658 135
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 33 1443 246
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96131 3775 31 113 38 0 0 0
OW 0 98 14 117 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 7 266 169 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 60 524 62 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 387 2233 1499 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 648 2712 164
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96182 3871 23 73 17 0 0 0
OW 0 174 14 98 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 18 267 117 4 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 130 450 13 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 26 808 3016 461 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1694 1525 31
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96182 3882 21 78 18 0 0 0
OW 0 168 17 100 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 16 228 99 4 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 161 449 11 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 825 2829 383 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1883 1603 31

Date: 2022-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95933 4042 19 106 15 0 0 0
OW 0 167 16 115 22 1 0 0
VODI 0 68 12 274 119 6 4 0
ODI 0 4 2 98 412 53 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 463 2025 1893 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 638 2375 178
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95933 4047 19 107 18 0 0 0
OW 0 173 16 125 21 1 0 0
VODI 0 55 11 251 105 3 3 0
ODI 0 6 3 110 423 50 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 466 1910 1765 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 759 2503 178

Date: 2022-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96203 3712 25 126 6 0 0 0
OW 0 131 23 117 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 7 286 99 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 51 648 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 427 2849 714 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 386 2986 222
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96203 3656 24 148 26 0 0 0
OW 0 153 16 130 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 14 212 129 4 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 72 454 48 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 563 2801 1238 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 405 2462 216

Date: 2022-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96271 3590 20 115 10 0 0 0
OW 0 111 26 152 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 6 277 133 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 46 599 27 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 569 3457 101 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 838 2605 94
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96271 3537 24 165 36 0 0 0
OW 0 129 20 128 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 8 209 114 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 79 461 64 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 689 3574 243 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 684 2465 94

Date: 2022-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95842 3815 23 139 11 0 0 0
OW 0 143 26 134 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 4 279 123 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 90 447 108 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1669 2269 97 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 13 2093 1724 14
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95842 3818 30 227 39 0 0 0
OW 0 111 14 123 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 8 182 130 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 103 376 116 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 1675 2853 146 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1499 1677 14


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