Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7191 6520 44 97 12 0 0 0
OW 0 458 68 268 96 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 35 854 740 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 355 4938 1150 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1474 6793 656 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2 267 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7559 6443 33 93 2 0 0 0
OW 0 517 63 296 67 0 0 0
VODI 0 158 53 771 1092 18 0 0
ODI 0 4 4 361 4736 1339 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 2658 5240 378 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 63 125 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7598 6994 44 74 2 0 0 0
OW 0 358 85 365 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 20 1142 503 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 269 5343 1623 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 1158 5466 428 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 138 401 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7281 7368 43 70 0 0 0 0
OW 0 451 67 303 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 146 42 1271 744 12 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 437 4302 2359 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 1139 4945 682 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 377 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7281 7405 47 88 3 0 0 0
OW 0 398 63 291 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 162 41 1201 757 33 0 0
ODI 0 6 4 502 4137 2208 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 1269 5075 680 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 8 379 0

Date: 2022-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8155 6577 36 54 1 0 0 0
OW 0 629 55 316 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 349 53 1252 983 62 0 0
ODI 0 16 17 428 3867 2630 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 1243 4276 596 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 71 376 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8155 6639 38 62 2 0 0 0
OW 0 548 59 337 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 344 46 1164 931 92 0 0
ODI 0 40 18 486 3789 2490 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 1359 4388 600 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 69 372 0

Date: 2022-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8414 7218 24 35 0 0 0 0
OW 0 492 114 319 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 40 1862 456 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 188 5080 483 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1105 5444 291 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 94 368 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8414 6541 31 92 0 0 0 0
OW 0 667 61 391 75 0 0 0
VODI 0 521 69 1170 1043 155 8 0
ODI 0 30 17 713 3725 2026 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 1802 3804 454 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 36 187 0

Date: 2022-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8422 7463 17 52 0 0 0 0
OW 0 568 86 293 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 181 87 1976 525 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 406 4718 178 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 2737 4012 22 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 136 193 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8422 6668 40 138 12 0 0 0
OW 0 800 39 329 105 0 0 0
VODI 0 682 86 1154 1265 149 0 0
ODI 0 62 25 1017 4177 918 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 97 2423 3217 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 42 108 0

Date: 2022-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8240 7696 9 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 817 84 186 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 355 115 1951 484 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 705 4494 73 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 47 4006 2179 191 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 410 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8240 6930 23 82 41 0 0 0
OW 0 953 51 287 131 0 0 0
VODI 0 840 91 1324 1316 68 0 0
ODI 0 146 43 1046 4039 605 68 0
CDI 0 1 0 171 3459 1640 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 349 0 0


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