Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-08-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114752 18096 163 529 62 0 0 0
OW 8 1465 149 856 182 0 0 0
VODI 0 441 108 2571 1396 6 0 0
ODI 0 46 9 1603 8953 1403 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 81 4042 15689 3633 26
VCDI 0 2 1 2 44 1588 7195 1943
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117505 15735 124 574 92 0 0 0
OW 16 1403 111 845 277 0 0 0
VODI 0 676 128 2341 1908 52 0 0
ODI 0 66 16 1819 7932 1824 46 0
CDI 0 0 1 150 5368 13729 4125 154
VCDI 0 0 0 4 74 1221 6290 2442
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 115884 18231 140 516 63 0 0 0
OW 0 1412 154 844 94 0 0 0
VODI 0 321 89 3672 1114 1 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 928 9933 2026 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 2888 12011 4192 32
VCDI 0 1 2 1 17 1466 8959 2037
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117208 17297 126 417 49 0 0 0
OW 0 1669 133 768 90 0 0 0
VODI 0 630 139 3570 1508 16 0 0
ODI 0 17 8 1444 7957 2945 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 37 3664 12062 3248 106
VCDI 0 1 0 0 20 2192 6808 2917
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117208 17504 130 475 69 0 0 0
OW 0 1478 136 738 101 0 0 0
VODI 0 610 130 3448 1537 37 0 0
ODI 0 21 10 1538 7584 2753 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 37 3970 12036 3075 82
VCDI 0 1 0 0 27 2389 6981 2941

Date: 2022-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117765 16806 130 430 35 0 0 0
OW 0 2026 129 804 72 1 0 0
VODI 0 1056 159 3673 1433 68 4 0
ODI 0 53 26 1351 6944 3383 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 73 3436 10480 4853 2
VCDI 0 2 1 5 100 1196 6638 3903
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117765 17046 144 512 39 0 0 0
OW 0 1776 121 806 85 1 0 0
VODI 0 1028 146 3501 1453 95 3 0
ODI 0 89 33 1437 6726 3162 12 0
CDI 0 2 0 74 3622 10540 4594 1
VCDI 0 2 1 6 95 1330 6897 3904

Date: 2022-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118176 18672 114 387 38 0 0 0
OW 0 1532 253 861 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 254 97 4762 810 3 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 397 8679 699 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 2527 13160 1627 0
VCDI 0 2 2 3 24 909 8786 4207
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118165 16971 122 535 58 0 0 0
OW 11 2011 139 950 119 0 0 0
VODI 0 1356 174 3263 1423 159 8 0
ODI 0 108 29 1599 6302 2757 10 0
CDI 0 14 0 93 4173 11104 3649 17
VCDI 0 2 2 11 27 751 6746 4190

Date: 2022-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118602 19316 98 349 20 0 0 0
OW 0 1615 178 774 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 768 174 4082 1011 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 711 7508 518 6 0
CDI 0 0 1 33 4633 11404 1392 0
VCDI 0 2 1 5 58 1995 7777 3984
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118591 17276 121 524 58 0 0 0
OW 11 2256 102 735 150 0 0 0
VODI 0 1992 180 2572 1589 152 0 0
ODI 0 165 46 1979 6465 1538 24 0
CDI 0 10 2 136 4936 10806 2429 232
VCDI 0 2 1 8 54 1432 6722 3752

Date: 2022-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 119233 19002 83 288 15 0 0 0
OW 0 2218 166 583 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 891 193 4016 781 3 0 0
ODI 0 3 0 1259 7024 297 2 0
CDI 0 2 0 59 7500 8392 798 0
VCDI 0 2 0 5 55 3743 7539 2877
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 119200 17180 103 481 84 0 0 0
OW 33 2670 101 616 211 0 0 0
VODI 0 1970 174 2554 1578 73 0 0
ODI 0 288 64 2290 6011 1021 68 2
CDI 0 7 0 263 7471 8046 985 440
VCDI 0 3 0 6 39 3295 7286 2435


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