Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92589 6616 59 400 8 0 0 0
OW 0 171 26 292 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 10 461 267 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 490 553 44 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 483 3555 1630 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 165 1017 103
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93392 5980 53 369 12 0 0 0
OW 0 221 19 271 71 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 11 342 252 20 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 93 434 551 64 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 566 3946 1095 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 375 901 24
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94364 5302 51 208 16 0 0 0
OW 0 128 29 234 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 14 325 200 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 55 523 181 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 312 3496 2195 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 318 1102 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94647 5148 45 199 1 0 0 0
OW 0 141 24 232 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 8 300 192 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 69 479 168 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 451 3390 1737 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 594 1188 1
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94647 5182 48 239 3 0 0 0
OW 0 117 20 194 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 9 279 184 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 88 466 198 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 482 3521 1762 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 434 1161 1

Date: 2022-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96379 3475 29 144 17 0 0 0
OW 62 160 7 110 52 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 16 259 213 19 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 77 376 266 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 301 2385 3015 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 57 1329 282
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96410 3499 29 169 24 0 0 0
OW 31 138 7 81 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 42 16 240 186 20 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 98 364 262 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 332 2403 3172 12
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 42 1166 282

Date: 2022-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96469 3418 25 117 24 0 0 0
OW 0 117 10 102 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 10 300 142 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 61 538 74 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 353 2542 1079 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 125 3336 216
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96469 3373 22 169 67 0 0 0
OW 0 117 9 65 70 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 14 229 179 44 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 107 341 257 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 429 2335 3179 63
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 107 1220 153

Date: 2022-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95848 4106 32 100 34 0 0 0
OW 0 93 17 134 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 6 264 175 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 44 475 108 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 427 2497 1348 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 538 2705 71
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95848 4020 30 133 66 0 0 0
OW 0 147 9 72 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 15 233 198 14 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 98 329 241 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 486 2643 3417 6
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 247 640 65

Date: 2022-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96738 3309 15 82 6 0 0 0
OW 0 181 14 115 15 1 0 0
VODI 0 71 23 293 83 5 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 149 420 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 46 709 2210 1139 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 824 2505 98
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96738 2998 20 170 41 0 0 0
OW 0 200 4 77 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 199 11 158 137 11 0 0
ODI 0 127 11 171 251 104 17 0
CDI 0 39 7 109 792 2915 3450 20
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 35 177 78


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