Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6506 6205 70 205 3 0 0 0
OW 1 370 58 528 126 3 0 0
VODI 0 56 18 471 902 23 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 125 4171 598 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2633 7656 783 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 479 71 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6447 6476 53 192 22 0 0 0
OW 1 425 59 439 212 0 0 0
VODI 0 133 27 426 1095 10 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 271 3987 923 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2115 7812 601 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 195 151 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6567 6895 56 117 16 0 0 0
OW 0 336 83 320 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 27 686 487 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 207 5034 980 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1310 8329 185 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 245 115 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7038 6589 50 128 6 0 0 0
OW 0 439 65 295 56 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 41 833 611 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 330 5101 878 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1613 7259 375 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 17 302 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7038 6730 56 183 11 0 0 0
OW 0 291 67 281 64 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 33 810 653 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 312 4991 900 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1668 7176 339 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 70 338 0

Date: 2022-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7400 6468 38 102 0 0 0 0
OW 0 480 65 282 78 0 0 0
VODI 0 96 38 825 903 7 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 261 4846 1346 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 1535 6383 699 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 216 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7400 6612 42 141 18 0 0 0
OW 0 349 68 259 79 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 31 821 890 6 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 251 4808 1251 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 1567 6478 608 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 300 0

Date: 2022-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7630 6803 48 80 1 0 0 0
OW 0 380 86 327 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 22 1014 466 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 206 6466 489 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1434 5453 486 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 25 602 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7630 6686 37 120 9 0 0 0
OW 0 413 69 257 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 140 46 913 1106 8 0 0
ODI 0 2 4 331 4668 1531 49 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 2531 4407 877 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 21 162 0

Date: 2022-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7219 7406 48 81 1 0 0 0
OW 0 370 74 352 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 29 1224 631 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 343 4661 2134 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 1067 5168 729 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 435 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7219 7268 36 54 2 0 0 0
OW 0 450 63 326 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 149 49 1246 1105 104 0 0
ODI 0 2 6 373 3893 2536 135 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 1355 4662 926 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 104 0

Date: 2022-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8099 6591 36 57 0 0 0 0
OW 0 564 54 290 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 274 52 1240 894 12 0 0
ODI 0 17 6 400 4115 2492 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 1157 4176 1110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 388 6
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8099 6578 26 84 12 0 0 0
OW 0 537 54 246 112 0 0 0
VODI 0 318 56 1150 1262 243 0 0
ODI 0 13 12 485 3387 2872 223 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 1414 3565 1219 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 80 6


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