Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-08-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92380 6300 38 267 22 0 0 0
OW 4 199 32 350 50 1 0 0
VODI 0 22 14 554 354 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 159 611 171 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 52 667 5989 286 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 215 359 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92220 6655 49 287 15 0 0 0
OW 0 207 21 369 70 3 0 0
VODI 0 20 4 438 368 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 119 536 202 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 54 820 5898 237 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 401 95 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93072 5978 48 356 0 0 0 0
OW 0 128 30 346 16 1 0 0
VODI 0 16 2 648 185 1 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 81 559 380 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 579 5297 554 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 188 621 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92584 6562 54 395 4 0 0 0
OW 0 159 30 300 38 1 0 0
VODI 0 35 6 518 245 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 94 459 555 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 533 3335 2070 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 223 837 16
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92584 6616 69 469 7 1 0 0
OW 0 111 17 280 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 4 457 257 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 95 432 554 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 546 3349 2056 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 210 847 16

Date: 2022-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92883 6408 59 374 14 0 0 0
OW 0 204 28 276 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 7 383 272 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 81 495 542 57 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 542 4015 1035 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 164 1038 114
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92883 6484 66 409 13 0 0 0
OW 0 136 24 303 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 4 322 302 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 75 474 553 79 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 550 4037 1019 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 133 1032 114

Date: 2022-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93462 6072 43 262 0 0 0 0
OW 0 183 32 228 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 4 412 151 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 85 614 101 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 482 4464 1131 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 239 1083 17
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93462 6118 53 340 7 0 0 0
OW 0 133 23 311 60 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 3 232 335 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 75 308 748 53 0
CDI 0 0 0 33 552 3842 1012 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 192 1149 17

Date: 2022-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94590 5161 44 193 12 0 0 0
OW 0 135 28 226 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 10 288 216 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 440 212 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 348 3597 1901 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 15 485 1079 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94590 5198 53 296 16 0 0 0
OW 0 95 23 224 128 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 6 154 317 81 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 77 164 715 232 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 435 3041 1690 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 460 1058 0

Date: 2022-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94774 5086 39 152 8 0 0 0
OW 0 200 17 155 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 15 292 195 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 69 444 206 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 274 3360 1886 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 319 1459 63
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94774 5174 52 211 15 0 0 0
OW 0 128 11 216 115 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 8 132 317 92 1 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 193 687 328 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 316 2766 1785 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 345 1231 63


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