Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-08-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105891 20630 211 876 128 0 0 0
OW 5 1110 165 1116 149 1 0 0
VODI 0 335 80 1992 1251 14 0 0
ODI 0 14 16 958 4938 1467 6 0
CDI 0 1 0 267 6033 19913 4077 203
VCDI 0 0 0 18 41 4196 6664 4282
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105662 21498 222 943 102 0 0 0
OW 0 1352 135 1075 194 3 0 0
VODI 0 382 92 2038 1268 20 0 0
ODI 0 22 10 1168 5329 1080 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 232 6596 20801 2128 0
VCDI 0 0 0 80 85 4211 6654 3665
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 107606 21253 254 989 57 0 0 0
OW 1 795 170 1225 130 1 0 0
VODI 0 335 74 2696 1324 12 0 0
ODI 0 20 4 495 7663 1093 0 0
CDI 0 30 8 79 4788 21426 862 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 20 3046 7201 3386
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-08-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109165 20602 205 828 30 0 0 0
OW 1 1080 161 1295 204 6 0 0
VODI 0 447 75 2274 1569 28 1 0
ODI 0 49 9 642 7364 1116 51 0
CDI 0 31 9 97 6230 17439 3134 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 29 3040 7166 2667
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109165 20671 228 1040 49 1 0 0
OW 1 904 132 1064 245 5 0 0
VODI 0 547 82 2259 1552 30 0 0
ODI 0 59 9 647 7174 1251 69 0
CDI 0 28 8 126 6376 17290 3063 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 30 3052 7220 2667

Date: 2022-08-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109609 20720 216 886 57 0 0 0
OW 1 1135 162 1413 307 0 0 0
VODI 0 378 65 2021 1843 12 0 0
ODI 0 61 18 825 6886 1569 58 0
CDI 0 12 3 192 7140 17731 1885 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 58 3200 7358 1223
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 109609 20845 217 1050 118 0 0 0
OW 1 947 160 1229 320 0 0 0
VODI 0 427 67 2025 1759 9 0 0
ODI 0 81 17 815 6719 1704 79 0
CDI 0 6 3 218 7320 17565 1879 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 55 3234 7343 1223

Date: 2022-08-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 112213 19194 171 699 17 0 0 0
OW 0 1154 173 1064 72 0 0 0
VODI 0 295 68 2495 1013 4 0 0
ODI 0 12 3 532 11463 556 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 4387 18343 1719 0
VCDI 0 2 2 1 18 1272 6452 3650
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 112212 19051 179 929 165 0 0 0
OW 1 953 153 1198 372 19 0 0
VODI 0 456 52 1648 2036 131 0 0
ODI 0 181 23 770 6787 2167 61 0
CDI 0 14 8 249 7559 15886 1837 84
VCDI 0 2 2 1 51 1972 6273 3566

Date: 2022-08-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113859 18347 186 727 34 0 0 0
OW 6 1133 155 1131 109 0 0 0
VODI 0 274 71 2420 1324 3 0 0
ODI 0 24 10 981 9950 1300 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 4106 16260 3236 0
VCDI 0 2 2 1 36 953 5605 4763
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113821 18046 195 1031 148 0 0 0
OW 32 940 108 1040 484 3 0 0
VODI 12 527 78 1562 2274 117 0 0
ODI 0 201 26 1112 6135 2492 234 0
CDI 0 65 16 554 6474 14603 3397 29
VCDI 0 1 1 1 44 1301 5210 4734

Date: 2022-08-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114752 18096 163 529 62 0 0 0
OW 8 1465 149 856 182 0 0 0
VODI 0 441 108 2571 1396 6 0 0
ODI 0 46 9 1603 8953 1403 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 81 4042 15689 3633 26
VCDI 0 2 1 2 44 1588 7195 1943
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114711 17518 195 851 283 0 0 0
OW 35 1191 81 808 581 6 0 0
VODI 14 870 95 1504 2062 139 1 0
ODI 0 305 44 1583 5853 2623 366 0
CDI 0 164 14 894 5858 14582 4197 95
VCDI 0 2 1 2 42 1336 6268 1874


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