Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90661 7462 67 338 15 0 0 0
OW 0 206 33 368 73 1 0 0
VODI 0 37 11 345 435 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 134 846 192 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 78 1826 4318 11 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 96 1524 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91390 6907 67 332 27 0 0 0
OW 11 198 27 359 129 1 0 0
VODI 0 37 9 250 506 49 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 132 668 310 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 70 1139 5035 190 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 32 1218 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91687 6869 61 277 2 0 0 0
OW 8 137 40 321 43 1 0 0
VODI 0 6 5 551 359 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 112 796 162 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 724 5887 338 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 343 346 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91058 7586 37 262 13 0 0 0
OW 5 193 30 326 56 1 0 0
VODI 0 34 16 487 395 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 180 618 194 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 669 5830 409 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 118 535 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91053 7623 47 310 13 1 0 0
OW 10 155 21 308 68 3 0 0
VODI 0 35 15 449 454 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 182 527 176 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 48 689 5787 702 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 180 242 0

Date: 2022-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91938 6807 45 275 19 0 0 0
OW 2 181 27 396 61 1 0 0
VODI 0 17 8 512 369 14 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 141 551 195 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 609 6389 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 455 13 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91932 6852 52 341 20 1 0 0
OW 8 136 21 382 64 3 0 0
VODI 0 17 7 446 393 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 151 491 187 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 67 641 6292 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 565 13 0

Date: 2022-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92762 6200 56 314 4 0 0 0
OW 0 163 32 313 16 1 0 0
VODI 0 19 5 620 217 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 114 699 175 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 651 5752 259 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 152 560 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92756 6229 65 396 11 1 0 0
OW 6 127 24 419 62 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 4 318 342 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 157 392 272 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 83 780 5677 367 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 123 448 0

Date: 2022-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93246 5841 50 390 6 0 0 0
OW 0 150 23 332 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 9 545 233 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 88 437 552 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 531 4803 867 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 102 819 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93246 5872 59 479 17 0 0 0
OW 0 100 16 422 99 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 6 262 276 36 0 0
ODI 0 7 1 114 247 430 53 0
CDI 0 0 0 88 603 4942 964 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 49 669 0

Date: 2022-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92589 6616 59 400 8 0 0 0
OW 0 171 26 292 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 10 461 267 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 74 490 553 44 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 483 3555 1630 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 165 1017 103
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92589 6671 68 530 42 0 0 0
OW 0 92 19 369 113 0 0 0
VODI 0 53 8 173 283 53 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 88 279 484 48 0
CDI 0 0 0 68 580 3685 2128 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 54 515 103


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