Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4562 4644 36 193 3 0 0 0
OW 0 809 57 303 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 358 52 720 325 5 0 0
ODI 0 50 11 228 2372 1367 60 0
CDI 0 9 4 48 2143 9116 4074 5
VCDI 0 0 0 0 54 19 426 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5313 4211 38 134 34 0 0 0
OW 31 965 39 203 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 443 66 612 270 2 0 0
ODI 0 79 17 313 2299 1574 195 0
CDI 0 18 4 69 1971 8273 4723 50
VCDI 0 0 0 0 37 2 78 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5840 5232 32 87 33 0 0 0
OW 1 388 67 176 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 179 46 706 251 0 0 0
ODI 0 3 4 140 2224 327 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 35 1607 8562 2767 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 132 3178 46
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6059 5393 29 67 27 0 0 0
OW 1 492 59 179 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 256 55 546 341 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 18 202 1885 648 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 60 1583 9272 1979 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1147 1740 12
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6059 5392 31 70 26 0 0 0
OW 1 475 53 141 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 271 59 550 315 1 0 0
ODI 0 23 18 220 1867 777 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 73 1612 9078 1972 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 1211 1747 12

Date: 2022-07-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5832 5863 33 98 28 0 0 0
OW 0 647 49 181 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 303 51 551 288 8 0 0
ODI 0 8 13 422 2231 607 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 2254 9081 1253 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1886 326 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5832 5892 27 94 28 0 0 0
OW 0 563 49 152 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 352 54 506 299 11 0 0
ODI 0 14 16 487 2171 718 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 49 2292 8857 1292 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1996 287 0

Date: 2022-08-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5679 6661 47 160 0 0 0 0
OW 0 416 74 285 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 40 964 363 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 95 4436 225 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 1449 9970 181 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 855 94 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5679 6075 35 190 9 0 0 0
OW 0 699 51 170 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 326 57 555 378 14 0 0
ODI 0 38 16 550 2783 330 0 0
CDI 0 1 2 39 3022 9371 196 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1337 79 0

Date: 2022-08-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5940 6577 90 207 13 0 0 0
OW 1 296 66 389 103 3 0 0
VODI 0 48 23 666 735 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 64 4206 452 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2187 8749 502 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 700 30 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5894 5884 73 190 48 0 0 0
OW 45 575 42 218 99 1 0 0
VODI 2 380 49 486 530 49 0 0
ODI 0 82 14 401 2954 607 18 0
CDI 0 0 1 31 3599 8425 495 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 846 30 0

Date: 2022-08-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6506 6205 70 205 3 0 0 0
OW 1 370 58 528 126 3 0 0
VODI 0 56 18 471 902 23 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 125 4171 598 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2633 7656 783 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 479 71 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6393 5449 63 235 72 0 0 0
OW 113 505 26 138 138 1 0 0
VODI 1 549 43 475 592 62 1 0
ODI 0 132 16 454 2916 716 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 27 4117 7385 776 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 595 71 0


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