Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-07-21

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94097 22115 249 1337 325 1 0 0
OW 6 1388 216 1767 500 3 0 0
VODI 0 404 122 2560 1383 35 0 0
ODI 0 89 15 755 3667 1118 0 0
CDI 0 124 10 374 7137 17860 2895 0
VCDI 0 118 4 108 1081 15359 8846 980
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 96753 20416 205 1538 396 1 0 0
OW 17 1380 182 1818 469 2 0 0
VODI 1 395 101 2291 1286 41 0 0
ODI 0 143 19 801 3809 921 37 0
CDI 0 152 10 370 7467 20320 2395 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 1391 13144 8574 197
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98218 21255 267 1521 266 0 0 0
OW 40 1103 202 1622 161 5 0 0
VODI 0 202 75 2761 1166 18 0 0
ODI 0 127 2 596 6783 701 0 0
CDI 0 35 2 104 8272 19526 2198 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 851 11020 7943 2
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100368 20139 260 1652 250 0 0 0
OW 1 1334 156 1445 210 1 0 0
VODI 0 403 94 2261 1348 27 0 0
ODI 0 153 14 702 5686 1579 42 0
CDI 0 20 3 118 7599 19189 4117 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 842 8127 7460 1443
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100368 20253 266 1776 260 0 0 0
OW 1 1209 154 1393 248 2 0 0
VODI 0 424 93 2144 1246 21 0 0
ODI 0 147 10 719 5525 1787 24 0
CDI 0 16 4 146 7858 18927 4058 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 798 8186 7537 1443

Date: 2022-07-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 102856 18724 234 1477 304 0 0 0
OW 61 1569 136 1261 185 1 0 0
VODI 1 602 90 2091 1166 45 0 0
ODI 0 157 17 746 5401 1944 75 0
CDI 0 22 6 202 7103 18739 5503 104
VCDI 0 0 0 17 606 8237 5962 1404
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 102878 18830 248 1626 311 0 0 0
OW 37 1405 113 1177 211 1 0 0
VODI 3 641 97 1972 1168 60 0 0
ODI 0 163 19 787 5157 1937 45 0
CDI 0 34 6 217 7384 18650 5488 48
VCDI 0 1 0 15 534 8318 6007 1460

Date: 2022-07-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103827 20349 252 1382 140 0 0 0
OW 10 940 181 1074 89 1 0 0
VODI 0 197 67 2625 885 4 0 0
ODI 0 27 6 662 6465 503 0 0
CDI 0 17 1 98 5680 21498 2559 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 89 5890 10521 1005
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 103820 19111 256 1603 192 0 0 0
OW 16 1369 105 1062 182 2 0 0
VODI 1 766 101 1687 1141 79 0 0
ODI 0 242 39 993 4433 2354 193 0
CDI 0 40 6 481 6985 18832 6389 60
VCDI 0 2 0 19 415 6629 6498 945

Date: 2022-07-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 104658 20909 210 1132 151 0 0 0
OW 6 967 174 1026 133 2 0 0
VODI 0 296 104 2210 1111 11 0 0
ODI 0 16 8 765 5455 1008 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 128 5404 20787 4241 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 63 3979 9412 2664
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 104634 19555 235 1356 217 0 0 0
OW 30 1314 84 891 198 2 0 0
VODI 0 1056 124 1245 1094 144 0 0
ODI 0 226 42 1094 3938 3160 206 0
CDI 0 37 11 673 6537 18197 7231 109
VCDI 0 0 0 6 333 4284 6230 2555

Date: 2022-07-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105891 20630 211 876 128 0 0 0
OW 5 1110 165 1116 149 1 0 0
VODI 0 335 80 1992 1251 14 0 0
ODI 0 14 16 958 4938 1467 6 0
CDI 0 1 0 267 6033 19913 4077 203
VCDI 0 0 0 18 41 4196 6664 4282
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105875 19321 206 1099 187 0 0 0
OW 21 1461 93 821 244 1 0 0
VODI 0 1008 117 1236 1158 201 0 0
ODI 0 262 41 1210 3948 3481 217 0
CDI 0 38 15 778 6841 19304 4809 271
VCDI 0 0 0 83 162 2604 5721 4214


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