Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-07-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 251 4905 84 287 79 12 0 0
OW 0 346 65 473 212 36 0 0
VODI 0 123 35 716 539 112 0 0
ODI 0 39 6 308 997 367 4 0
CDI 0 37 7 172 1564 6283 789 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 65 3907 8876 381
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 254 5030 84 332 99 4 0 0
OW 0 404 49 540 256 11 0 0
VODI 0 146 42 651 618 51 0 0
ODI 0 48 10 307 1049 335 2 0
CDI 0 38 6 195 1540 6749 1357 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 92 3806 7336 633
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 315 5471 82 297 33 1 0 0
OW 0 393 88 593 137 1 0 0
VODI 0 96 26 1012 615 18 0 0
ODI 0 48 7 225 1565 118 0 0
CDI 0 4 1 72 1873 7245 616 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 62 3104 7576 387
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 481 5654 89 278 35 1 0 0
OW 0 422 104 656 219 2 0 0
VODI 0 118 23 880 604 45 0 0
ODI 0 57 9 249 1402 159 2 0
CDI 0 9 5 89 2097 8291 312 0
VCDI 0 1 2 21 498 4196 5072 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 481 5767 121 369 62 1 0 0
OW 0 308 69 631 226 2 0 0
VODI 0 120 27 821 625 50 0 0
ODI 0 51 7 245 1325 156 0 0
CDI 0 14 6 85 2148 8319 407 0
VCDI 0 1 2 22 469 4166 4979 0

Date: 2022-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 692 5693 79 350 45 1 0 0
OW 2 508 93 617 237 9 0 0
VODI 0 147 27 845 537 47 0 0
ODI 0 63 7 309 1281 177 0 0
CDI 0 11 2 123 2827 9126 961 0
VCDI 0 1 0 4 273 3402 3586 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 692 5840 95 432 70 1 0 0
OW 2 378 75 609 250 9 0 0
VODI 0 133 29 792 558 52 0 0
ODI 0 59 6 271 1222 162 0 0
CDI 0 12 2 141 2809 8949 988 0
VCDI 0 1 1 3 291 3589 3559 0

Date: 2022-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1363 5832 87 361 40 1 0 0
OW 2 377 108 613 100 1 0 0
VODI 0 18 24 1180 498 26 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 147 2013 158 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 37 2789 9744 1048 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 9 2270 3232 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1363 5547 81 417 106 2 0 0
OW 2 471 85 599 152 12 0 0
VODI 0 168 44 826 463 43 0 0
ODI 0 38 9 346 989 189 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 150 3543 9000 1718 0
VCDI 0 1 0 1 196 2954 2562 0

Date: 2022-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1715 5701 123 476 49 1 0 0
OW 2 293 69 825 114 3 0 0
VODI 0 40 21 936 665 21 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 136 1858 231 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 3560 9006 1795 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 31 2628 1729 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1715 5346 88 540 120 5 0 0
OW 2 438 65 560 149 9 0 0
VODI 0 192 47 755 535 33 0 0
ODI 0 58 13 390 996 237 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 180 4216 8297 2299 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 261 3309 1225 0

Date: 2022-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2078 5756 82 400 45 0 0 0
OW 2 461 92 760 110 2 0 0
VODI 0 164 49 856 578 22 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 183 1397 800 0 0
CDI 0 3 2 104 3308 9676 2304 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 71 2153 622 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2078 5319 87 530 110 6 0 0
OW 2 585 55 464 170 6 0 0
VODI 0 375 57 674 457 62 0 0
ODI 0 100 24 440 890 651 11 0
CDI 0 6 3 195 3698 9065 2422 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 184 2863 493 0


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