Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-07-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87654 20252 309 1391 321 32 0 0
OW 17 1078 148 1768 674 58 0 0
VODI 0 321 72 2141 2005 180 0 0
ODI 0 89 22 752 3220 1068 4 0
CDI 0 71 14 622 5347 9195 967 0
VCDI 0 0 0 72 4956 24748 16711 769
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88088 20647 273 1488 415 18 0 0
OW 15 1084 136 2016 796 61 0 0
VODI 0 374 85 1739 2050 301 0 0
ODI 0 140 29 778 2757 1120 2 0
CDI 0 96 20 839 5589 9737 1388 0
VCDI 0 1 0 93 3845 22723 17519 786
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89351 21679 262 1152 238 12 0 0
OW 12 1060 223 1774 356 19 0 0
VODI 0 245 64 2223 1784 31 0 0
ODI 0 150 23 822 4352 413 0 0
CDI 0 58 10 576 6504 12619 672 0
VCDI 0 3 0 12 1612 23738 14500 499
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-07-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89485 22704 287 1288 217 16 0 0
OW 10 808 204 1858 554 10 0 0
VODI 0 288 55 2064 1963 131 0 0
ODI 0 113 15 711 3701 589 2 0
CDI 0 52 17 634 6771 14589 333 0
VCDI 0 117 4 83 2465 25768 9126 16
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89485 22840 343 1488 274 19 0 0
OW 10 651 145 1700 559 15 0 0
VODI 0 299 55 2020 1953 149 0 0
ODI 0 117 17 731 3583 579 0 0
CDI 0 58 18 616 6791 14632 428 0
VCDI 0 117 4 83 2511 25709 9033 16

Date: 2022-07-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90739 22021 289 1465 262 8 0 0
OW 12 997 181 1869 609 17 0 0
VODI 0 485 76 2302 1917 109 0 0
ODI 0 202 22 846 2886 684 0 0
CDI 0 156 21 690 7476 15079 999 0
VCDI 0 11 0 29 1699 24675 8114 101
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90739 22208 326 1688 327 10 0 0
OW 12 795 145 1695 596 26 0 0
VODI 0 443 74 2208 1965 153 0 0
ODI 0 264 22 885 2755 521 0 0
CDI 0 151 21 700 7411 15092 1024 0
VCDI 0 11 1 25 1795 24770 8089 101

Date: 2022-07-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92537 21713 315 1439 248 3 0 0
OW 10 833 213 1670 333 3 0 0
VODI 0 128 64 2949 1614 41 0 0
ODI 0 126 17 756 5150 357 0 0
CDI 0 75 3 193 7271 17353 1049 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 802 17943 11311 520
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92536 21282 323 1778 427 4 0 0
OW 11 906 160 1721 731 27 0 0
VODI 0 396 83 1889 2204 147 0 0
ODI 0 84 25 854 2275 702 0 0
CDI 0 206 21 765 8285 15365 1730 0
VCDI 0 1 0 9 1496 19455 10630 520

Date: 2022-07-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93643 21428 332 1557 369 2 0 0
OW 10 877 185 1974 491 5 0 0
VODI 6 295 48 2626 1770 28 0 0
ODI 0 83 13 711 4459 356 0 0
CDI 0 139 12 268 7758 17103 1853 0
VCDI 0 139 0 30 460 12796 13460 1762
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93643 20839 305 1955 634 6 0 0
OW 10 1172 152 1589 744 10 0 0
VODI 6 481 81 1992 1705 68 0 0
ODI 0 109 26 779 2388 527 0 0
CDI 0 133 21 816 8786 15313 2385 0
VCDI 0 227 5 35 1050 14366 12928 1762

Date: 2022-07-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94097 22115 249 1337 325 1 0 0
OW 6 1388 216 1767 500 3 0 0
VODI 0 404 122 2560 1383 35 0 0
ODI 0 89 15 755 3667 1118 0 0
CDI 0 124 10 374 7137 17860 2895 0
VCDI 0 118 4 108 1081 15359 8846 980
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94095 21465 293 1905 696 6 0 0
OW 8 1500 129 1338 591 32 0 0
VODI 0 729 119 1802 1212 121 0 0
ODI 0 202 41 881 2113 1116 11 0
CDI 0 201 29 834 7851 16191 3062 0
VCDI 0 141 5 141 1630 16910 8668 980


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