Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83197 10531 129 548 97 0 0 0
OW 16 200 30 475 234 1 0 0
VODI 0 91 1 273 715 31 0 0
ODI 0 81 4 143 723 442 24 0
CDI 0 123 18 194 571 1258 303 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 154 658 4527 3303
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84102 9979 116 540 52 0 0 0
OW 15 213 29 482 279 0 0 0
VODI 0 127 9 333 609 33 6 0
ODI 0 94 3 178 761 256 11 0
CDI 0 119 20 210 844 1073 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 120 564 5505 2331
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84397 10131 98 377 27 0 0 0
OW 12 274 44 400 194 0 0 0
VODI 0 96 10 392 655 4 0 0
ODI 0 41 10 153 1159 180 0 0
CDI 0 51 10 114 979 1081 5 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 131 2332 5698 39
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84514 10150 109 431 38 0 0 0
OW 10 175 46 491 282 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 6 390 720 32 0 0
ODI 0 33 7 122 787 539 4 0
CDI 0 48 8 111 841 979 62 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 209 3932 3929 23
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84515 10173 116 499 67 0 0 0
OW 9 158 38 413 257 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 8 407 740 46 0 0
ODI 0 33 5 118 744 523 5 0
CDI 0 48 9 109 885 981 75 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 184 3932 3915 23

Date: 2022-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85015 9950 101 386 31 0 0 0
OW 9 184 50 565 201 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 13 429 748 18 0 0
ODI 0 31 9 102 708 474 0 0
CDI 0 23 6 92 955 1035 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 166 5530 2140 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85015 9974 107 462 71 0 0 0
OW 9 166 45 496 176 1 0 0
VODI 0 86 14 427 755 27 0 0
ODI 0 28 6 100 664 465 0 0
CDI 0 29 7 89 1020 1076 36 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 123 5488 2134 0

Date: 2022-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85291 10050 69 274 17 0 0 0
OW 9 254 84 452 93 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 12 554 445 5 0 0
ODI 0 21 3 130 1113 140 0 0
CDI 0 10 5 60 879 1826 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 77 4046 3087 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85291 10005 90 389 83 0 0 0
OW 9 231 47 425 200 6 0 0
VODI 0 84 20 404 813 81 0 0
ODI 0 31 9 122 441 394 0 0
CDI 0 33 7 130 942 1218 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 145 4318 3126 0

Date: 2022-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86029 9766 71 249 11 0 0 0
OW 7 238 76 393 103 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 19 445 519 14 0 0
ODI 0 20 7 101 794 218 0 0
CDI 0 4 4 52 804 2786 55 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 76 4451 1723 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86029 9580 76 338 82 0 0 0
OW 7 312 54 348 260 3 0 0
VODI 0 131 27 328 645 139 0 0
ODI 0 44 13 113 327 366 0 0
CDI 0 20 7 113 872 2164 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 121 4797 1737 0

Date: 2022-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85459 10332 96 341 30 0 0 0
OW 6 221 51 414 158 1 0 0
VODI 0 74 18 356 611 32 0 0
ODI 0 21 6 91 696 305 0 0
CDI 0 3 3 86 815 2909 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 65 5183 717 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85459 10146 94 462 168 0 0 0
OW 6 294 35 282 412 6 0 0
VODI 0 134 27 291 453 182 0 0
ODI 0 58 9 101 326 313 0 0
CDI 0 19 9 151 947 2754 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 69 5175 717 0


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