Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-30

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 3777 56 252 34 13 0 0
OW 0 670 87 529 130 39 10 0
VODI 0 197 53 674 405 113 67 0
ODI 0 110 9 212 885 420 195 0
CDI 0 73 21 231 1048 2072 349 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 273 5466 12381 1201
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 4110 66 254 57 22 0 0
OW 0 713 52 349 130 54 15 0
VODI 0 230 60 595 351 159 72 0
ODI 0 112 10 310 853 426 128 0
CDI 0 90 25 277 1290 2440 700 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 160 5187 11184 1563
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 186 4744 86 285 61 6 0 0
OW 0 294 82 391 122 29 0 0
VODI 0 75 28 807 441 64 0 0
ODI 0 23 5 257 1242 316 2 0
CDI 0 25 6 140 1130 4392 713 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 89 5188 9435 1413
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 222 4887 76 248 68 9 0 0
OW 0 334 72 475 164 33 0 0
VODI 0 118 33 758 511 105 0 0
ODI 0 43 6 297 1124 275 2 0
CDI 0 42 6 146 1794 4947 1163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 14 68 4042 8729 1271
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 222 4918 91 331 91 26 0 0
OW 0 321 51 445 163 32 0 0
VODI 0 106 40 705 527 97 0 0
ODI 0 40 5 289 1081 264 2 0
CDI 0 39 6 156 1801 4816 1194 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 66 4176 8698 1271

Date: 2022-07-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 274 4976 72 299 84 12 0 0
OW 0 368 61 512 203 28 0 0
VODI 0 128 42 746 540 106 0 0
ODI 0 42 7 326 977 352 0 0
CDI 0 40 5 192 1809 6544 694 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 71 3251 8598 716
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 274 5011 85 394 100 26 0 0
OW 0 342 48 468 206 28 0 0
VODI 0 124 40 686 593 86 0 0
ODI 0 40 7 317 935 394 0 0
CDI 0 37 7 208 1778 6519 696 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 72 3240 8596 716

Date: 2022-07-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 278 5317 90 296 48 1 0 0
OW 0 390 85 473 93 1 0 0
VODI 0 68 28 1063 642 10 0 0
ODI 0 39 5 218 1690 156 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 77 1198 7848 663 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 36 2582 8449 235
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 278 5167 105 455 106 1 0 0
OW 0 363 48 530 268 3 0 0
VODI 0 186 37 581 664 41 0 0
ODI 0 58 12 302 915 366 0 0
CDI 0 40 8 257 1540 7057 1725 1
VCDI 0 0 0 3 214 3130 7387 234

Date: 2022-07-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 336 5605 77 294 33 1 0 0
OW 0 397 89 681 152 2 0 0
VODI 0 101 30 934 642 25 0 0
ODI 0 66 4 281 1420 185 2 0
CDI 0 2 3 94 2073 7369 506 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 370 4190 5988 125
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 336 5348 86 465 92 1 0 0
OW 0 406 49 527 255 7 0 0
VODI 0 274 45 653 576 35 0 0
ODI 0 75 12 374 943 268 4 0
CDI 0 68 11 262 2476 7650 1944 28
VCDI 0 0 0 8 348 3811 4548 97

Date: 2022-07-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 476 5781 87 316 40 1 0 0
OW 1 484 99 609 277 7 0 0
VODI 0 131 24 852 572 45 1 0
ODI 0 58 7 255 1391 125 6 0
CDI 0 13 5 113 2152 8684 839 0
VCDI 0 1 1 18 341 4112 4158 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 476 5479 97 462 132 1 0 0
OW 1 470 50 403 267 9 0 0
VODI 0 336 52 622 575 79 1 0
ODI 0 99 5 372 798 343 26 0
CDI 0 82 18 280 2624 9333 1861 0
VCDI 0 2 1 24 377 3209 3116 0


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