Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81618 11212 126 434 60 8 0 0
OW 24 244 33 517 167 11 0 0
VODI 0 100 15 356 564 49 0 0
ODI 0 50 7 201 640 139 33 0
CDI 0 70 11 111 1767 1631 161 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 109 1395 4833 2404
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81621 11194 127 652 103 2 0 0
OW 20 223 42 417 310 2 0 0
VODI 0 106 14 334 549 49 0 0
ODI 0 51 8 179 743 179 7 0
CDI 0 68 8 117 1761 1514 52 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 146 1122 4449 2931
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82068 11175 123 581 126 0 0 0
OW 19 184 55 444 138 3 0 0
VODI 0 64 8 424 605 15 0 0
ODI 0 49 3 162 1038 226 5 0
CDI 0 45 10 119 1042 1809 114 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 93 805 5677 1871
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83119 10425 125 611 99 0 0 0
OW 18 193 34 497 189 2 0 0
VODI 0 86 1 305 668 33 0 0
ODI 0 75 2 151 803 382 16 0
CDI 0 106 17 188 726 1325 236 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 225 851 5629 1960
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83119 10466 127 660 129 0 0 0
OW 18 153 30 455 181 1 0 0
VODI 0 96 3 308 619 32 0 0
ODI 0 79 4 151 842 383 4 0
CDI 0 91 15 179 715 1333 247 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 224 844 5630 1960

Date: 2022-06-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84022 9903 129 541 63 0 0 0
OW 15 193 26 431 291 1 0 0
VODI 0 110 11 250 731 21 0 0
ODI 0 89 0 140 850 281 9 0
CDI 0 119 19 219 742 1255 53 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 131 561 5568 2326
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84022 9920 131 568 112 0 0 0
OW 15 181 25 404 241 1 0 0
VODI 0 117 10 262 718 23 0 0
ODI 0 105 1 144 861 225 6 0
CDI 0 91 18 203 750 1290 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 126 580 5570 2326

Date: 2022-06-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84173 10154 102 379 28 0 0 0
OW 15 251 48 403 131 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 7 571 541 6 0 0
ODI 0 37 11 155 1316 109 1 0
CDI 0 49 11 118 748 1378 37 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 1047 5961 1200
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84176 10045 119 583 118 0 0 0
OW 12 235 24 390 325 2 0 0
VODI 0 128 11 274 608 58 0 0
ODI 0 86 6 193 731 220 7 0
CDI 0 74 19 186 921 1094 37 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 97 1166 5955 1200

Date: 2022-06-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84481 10148 92 393 37 0 0 0
OW 11 221 57 524 170 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 8 506 550 16 0 0
ODI 0 30 7 152 946 417 2 0
CDI 0 45 9 104 850 1067 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 137 2124 5859 48
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84481 9986 107 663 160 0 0 0
OW 11 242 30 376 228 0 0 0
VODI 0 129 14 291 603 57 0 0
ODI 0 84 5 193 557 307 2 0
CDI 0 76 17 158 981 1098 32 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 161 2162 5837 48

Date: 2022-07-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84707 10057 110 432 41 0 0 0
OW 9 173 46 582 204 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 7 443 743 11 0 0
ODI 0 28 6 116 850 419 0 0
CDI 0 34 7 109 946 962 54 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 209 5269 2456 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84707 9950 110 787 146 0 0 0
OW 9 208 28 324 292 0 0 0
VODI 0 110 19 249 736 59 0 0
ODI 0 56 10 158 540 232 0 0
CDI 0 30 9 170 1149 1241 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 130 5129 2427 0


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