Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78415 13092 147 642 112 0 0 0
OW 33 251 58 512 189 3 0 0
VODI 0 107 14 436 588 33 0 0
ODI 0 60 8 284 745 390 10 0
CDI 0 116 14 179 1443 1697 898 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 161 488 3621 4354
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80195 11777 105 506 108 0 0 0
OW 29 270 62 458 237 5 0 0
VODI 0 113 16 417 605 87 0 0
ODI 0 83 11 182 549 428 96 0
CDI 0 103 14 139 1237 1583 1272 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 90 168 2963 5192
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80708 11593 113 426 33 2 0 0
OW 28 243 52 488 118 4 0 0
VODI 0 124 13 423 598 24 0 0
ODI 0 43 13 117 858 177 3 0
CDI 0 77 9 92 1167 1898 356 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 55 423 4630 4192
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82150 10477 123 471 49 3 0 0
OW 25 220 34 524 153 8 0 0
VODI 0 127 14 330 653 11 0 0
ODI 0 45 8 144 727 125 2 0
CDI 0 68 10 106 1460 2112 95 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 77 887 4719 3143
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82150 10499 132 548 70 3 0 0
OW 25 211 25 473 156 7 0 0
VODI 0 113 13 305 625 15 0 0
ODI 0 41 9 147 763 140 2 0
CDI 0 73 10 102 1429 2081 75 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 76 900 4739 3143

Date: 2022-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80946 11895 131 539 99 2 0 0
OW 23 205 39 454 249 10 0 0
VODI 0 98 13 314 554 81 0 0
ODI 0 47 8 168 671 166 32 0
CDI 0 63 8 141 1856 1412 190 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 214 1245 3975 3252
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80946 11943 142 635 144 3 0 0
OW 23 164 31 373 254 17 0 0
VODI 0 85 10 308 536 64 0 0
ODI 0 45 8 174 608 188 30 0
CDI 0 71 8 126 1896 1350 188 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 205 1294 3979 3252

Date: 2022-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81351 11828 109 479 90 0 0 0
OW 20 220 72 438 82 1 0 0
VODI 0 48 12 593 435 7 0 0
ODI 0 37 4 173 1254 103 0 0
CDI 0 42 7 90 1328 1762 150 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 94 1090 4882 2299
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81351 11656 129 662 204 0 0 0
OW 20 280 37 284 258 4 0 0
VODI 0 113 22 414 397 106 0 0
ODI 0 58 7 204 681 175 8 0
CDI 0 68 9 209 1458 1453 180 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 285 1225 4844 2299

Date: 2022-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82608 10728 119 664 96 2 0 0
OW 18 224 36 451 168 3 0 0
VODI 0 96 8 351 642 23 0 0
ODI 0 71 5 147 910 327 3 0
CDI 0 76 15 173 994 1248 304 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 327 974 4425 2862
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82608 10433 111 766 298 2 0 0
OW 18 336 22 222 295 25 0 0
VODI 0 227 27 329 311 127 0 0
ODI 0 111 7 171 697 233 0 0
CDI 0 88 16 289 1221 1380 368 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 315 810 4364 2862

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83197 10531 129 548 97 0 0 0
OW 16 200 30 475 234 1 0 0
VODI 0 91 1 273 715 31 0 0
ODI 0 81 4 143 723 442 24 0
CDI 0 123 18 194 571 1258 303 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 154 658 4527 3303
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83197 10097 111 652 369 2 0 0
OW 16 392 25 237 243 26 0 0
VODI 0 234 22 255 392 109 0 0
ODI 0 162 4 131 651 325 12 0
CDI 0 141 20 363 762 1525 583 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 77 403 4259 3303


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