Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 947 11 53 1 0 0 0
OW 0 238 34 280 28 12 1 0
VODI 0 263 29 325 329 29 0 0
ODI 0 249 12 329 945 252 2 0
CDI 0 413 36 437 2368 2071 774 0
VCDI 0 121 22 490 561 5578 10621 4210
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 1128 10 76 8 0 0 0
OW 0 381 27 209 86 2 0 0
VODI 0 375 23 338 330 48 0 0
ODI 0 313 27 412 1029 284 16 0
CDI 0 359 44 597 2241 2318 616 0
VCDI 0 72 15 320 764 6513 8965 4125
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12 2124 42 106 46 12 0 0
OW 0 300 51 356 131 0 0 0
VODI 0 169 30 646 570 8 3 0
ODI 0 68 20 479 1984 214 11 0
CDI 0 134 19 200 1504 2255 735 0
VCDI 0 5 3 30 1109 6354 8217 4135
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12 2175 40 185 16 25 16 0
OW 0 337 55 498 83 37 6 0
VODI 0 166 39 847 752 55 5 0
ODI 0 104 26 452 1441 302 21 0
CDI 0 139 18 171 1105 2162 1550 0
VCDI 0 2 1 35 928 5322 8655 4299
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12 2280 62 301 32 39 16 0
OW 0 264 34 466 96 24 6 0
VODI 0 131 37 783 661 60 4 0
ODI 0 100 27 437 1470 296 22 0
CDI 0 148 19 169 1146 2207 1714 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 920 5277 8491 4299

Date: 2022-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 2408 37 173 29 48 1 0
OW 0 536 80 443 169 47 0 0
VODI 0 193 47 916 701 92 2 0
ODI 0 152 21 433 1112 345 47 0
CDI 0 142 17 193 1140 1858 1594 0
VCDI 0 13 3 87 671 4367 9867 4087
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 2622 67 278 36 63 1 0
OW 0 357 50 491 195 35 0 0
VODI 0 165 48 788 688 106 6 0
ODI 0 127 21 409 1047 327 46 0
CDI 0 159 16 188 1177 1927 1888 0
VCDI 0 14 3 91 679 4299 9570 4087

Date: 2022-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 3099 48 205 22 14 2 0
OW 0 425 83 460 71 41 6 0
VODI 0 273 47 1084 569 45 9 0
ODI 0 111 16 202 1500 300 11 0
CDI 0 37 10 144 728 1976 218 0
VCDI 0 0 0 151 488 3431 10376 5869
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 2981 59 365 54 41 12 0
OW 0 413 53 519 258 55 12 0
VODI 0 230 43 624 508 116 11 0
ODI 0 140 25 366 947 416 16 0
CDI 0 169 21 196 1009 1747 2279 564
VCDI 0 12 3 176 602 3432 8292 5305

Date: 2022-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 3471 59 218 26 20 5 0
OW 0 479 83 749 87 30 19 0
VODI 0 176 27 875 500 77 22 0
ODI 0 90 12 157 1036 510 38 0
CDI 0 42 11 162 820 1813 381 0
VCDI 0 0 1 20 479 4590 11996 2990
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 3193 59 478 56 31 26 0
OW 0 469 52 459 163 70 27 0
VODI 0 293 43 605 354 170 53 0
ODI 0 121 16 409 849 527 54 0
CDI 0 168 19 186 1004 1891 3393 311
VCDI 0 14 4 44 522 4351 8908 2679

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 3777 56 252 34 13 0 0
OW 0 670 87 529 130 39 10 0
VODI 0 197 53 674 405 113 67 0
ODI 0 110 9 212 885 420 195 0
CDI 0 73 21 231 1048 2072 349 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 273 5466 12381 1201
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 23 3518 73 384 77 47 11 0
OW 0 579 36 337 137 78 54 0
VODI 0 373 66 499 342 126 142 0
ODI 0 141 25 402 837 554 176 0
CDI 0 204 25 246 1001 2279 3186 290
VCDI 0 12 1 37 381 5039 9433 911


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