Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1765 122 1271 457 3 0 0
OW 0 156 11 514 458 0 0 0
VODI 0 112 5 169 719 61 0 0
ODI 0 94 2 111 674 373 1 0
CDI 0 128 14 177 1149 1505 418 13
VCDI 0 93 15 108 585 5256 17416 11911
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2299 135 1387 414 3 0 0
OW 0 131 9 348 460 3 0 0
VODI 0 103 5 137 713 82 0 0
ODI 0 85 2 101 477 572 2 0
CDI 0 141 13 171 705 1865 592 26
VCDI 0 104 17 104 699 5413 17947 10601
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2773 126 1385 371 2 0 0
OW 0 146 10 407 334 0 0 0
VODI 0 79 6 206 940 19 0 0
ODI 0 80 6 103 1096 690 2 0
CDI 0 138 14 181 848 1936 319 12
VCDI 0 55 8 168 817 4963 17131 10495
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12 3707 110 1035 322 0 0 0
OW 0 194 6 473 381 1 0 0
VODI 0 169 3 190 1000 53 0 0
ODI 0 123 9 101 1259 477 6 0
CDI 0 96 10 151 702 1616 311 0
VCDI 0 50 13 146 919 4904 18324 8993
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12 3744 113 1095 383 0 0 0
OW 0 150 4 386 373 1 0 0
VODI 0 175 4 212 909 51 0 0
ODI 0 124 7 99 1133 439 3 0
CDI 0 94 10 158 856 1645 289 0
VCDI 0 52 13 146 929 4915 18349 8993

Date: 2022-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 163 4135 115 1245 154 0 0 0
OW 0 160 10 565 518 43 0 0
VODI 0 100 10 182 963 316 8 0
ODI 0 75 9 129 812 594 64 0
CDI 0 124 12 151 638 1051 363 0
VCDI 0 54 8 411 1283 6010 16484 8907
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 163 4186 118 1245 200 0 0 0
OW 0 124 9 587 473 72 0 0
VODI 0 94 12 163 907 366 7 0
ODI 0 62 5 115 788 435 50 0
CDI 0 127 12 164 722 1106 355 2
VCDI 0 55 8 409 1278 6035 16507 8905

Date: 2022-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 261 4609 122 1252 96 0 0 0
OW 0 169 35 417 268 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 5 369 721 11 1 0
ODI 0 48 7 115 2348 310 8 0
CDI 0 97 17 192 1108 1547 161 0
VCDI 0 6 1 154 1483 5667 13671 10539
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 261 4391 114 1357 344 3 0 0
OW 0 201 25 384 586 10 1 0
VODI 0 117 14 180 1195 134 16 0
ODI 0 61 8 123 968 268 23 0
CDI 0 179 18 193 1076 953 162 0
VCDI 0 31 8 262 1855 6167 13639 10539

Date: 2022-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 416 5114 141 1078 131 0 0 0
OW 0 187 32 480 344 4 0 0
VODI 0 58 7 606 1423 41 5 0
ODI 0 51 6 198 1154 227 18 0
CDI 0 96 15 189 1433 1469 385 0
VCDI 0 4 4 127 3579 7038 9305 10501
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 416 4830 132 1226 426 6 0 0
OW 0 275 25 411 504 17 0 0
VODI 0 129 14 423 1000 120 19 0
ODI 0 67 9 219 794 185 37 0
CDI 0 198 20 211 1366 1020 271 0
VCDI 0 11 5 188 3974 7431 9386 10501

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 734 5329 124 989 137 5 0 0
OW 17 162 26 686 418 23 3 0
VODI 0 81 11 488 1544 264 16 0
ODI 0 73 7 132 535 493 24 0
CDI 0 101 15 268 1561 1308 453 0
VCDI 0 6 6 124 6022 8178 6577 8926
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 734 4908 116 1208 578 27 0 0
OW 17 347 17 513 521 64 6 0
VODI 0 167 16 320 819 239 28 0
ODI 0 101 10 159 482 443 50 0
CDI 0 223 24 360 1408 929 366 0
VCDI 0 6 6 127 6409 8569 6623 8926


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