Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-06-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78426 15804 280 1966 570 3 0 0
OW 33 645 103 1306 675 15 1 0
VODI 0 482 48 930 1636 123 0 0
ODI 0 403 22 724 2364 1015 13 0
CDI 0 657 64 793 4960 5273 2090 13
VCDI 0 214 37 598 1307 11322 31658 20475
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80206 15204 250 1969 530 3 0 0
OW 29 782 98 1015 783 10 0 0
VODI 0 591 44 892 1648 217 0 0
ODI 0 481 40 695 2055 1284 114 0
CDI 0 603 71 907 4183 5766 2480 26
VCDI 0 176 32 424 1553 12094 29875 19918
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80720 16490 281 1917 450 16 0 0
OW 28 689 113 1251 583 4 0 0
VODI 0 372 49 1275 2108 51 3 0
ODI 0 191 39 699 3938 1081 16 0
CDI 0 349 42 473 3519 6089 1410 12
VCDI 0 60 11 198 1981 11740 29978 18822
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82174 16359 273 1691 387 28 16 0
OW 25 751 95 1495 617 46 6 0
VODI 0 462 56 1367 2405 119 5 0
ODI 0 272 43 697 3427 904 29 0
CDI 0 303 38 428 3267 5890 1956 0
VCDI 0 52 14 181 1924 11113 31698 16435
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82174 16523 307 1944 485 42 16 0
OW 25 625 63 1325 625 32 6 0
VODI 0 419 54 1300 2195 126 4 0
ODI 0 265 43 683 3366 875 27 0
CDI 0 315 39 429 3431 5933 2078 0
VCDI 0 52 13 178 1925 11092 31579 16435

Date: 2022-06-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81120 18438 283 1957 282 50 1 0
OW 23 901 129 1462 936 100 0 0
VODI 0 391 70 1412 2218 489 10 0
ODI 0 274 38 730 2595 1105 143 0
CDI 0 329 37 485 3634 4321 2147 0
VCDI 0 67 11 498 2168 11622 30326 16246
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81120 18751 327 2158 380 66 1 0
OW 23 645 90 1451 922 124 0 0
VODI 0 344 70 1259 2131 536 13 0
ODI 0 234 34 698 2443 950 126 0
CDI 0 357 36 478 3795 4383 2431 2
VCDI 0 69 11 500 2162 11628 30056 16244

Date: 2022-06-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81623 19536 279 1936 208 14 2 0
OW 20 814 190 1315 421 42 6 0
VODI 0 372 64 2046 1725 63 10 0
ODI 0 196 27 490 5102 713 19 0
CDI 0 176 34 426 3164 5285 529 0
VCDI 0 6 1 305 2065 10188 28929 18707
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81623 19028 302 2384 602 44 12 0
OW 20 894 115 1187 1102 69 13 0
VODI 0 460 79 1218 2100 356 27 0
ODI 0 259 40 693 2596 859 47 0
CDI 0 416 48 598 3543 4153 2621 564
VCDI 0 43 11 438 2742 10824 26775 18143

Date: 2022-06-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83035 19313 319 1960 253 22 5 0
OW 18 890 151 1680 599 37 19 0
VODI 0 330 42 1832 2565 141 27 0
ODI 0 212 23 502 3100 1064 59 0
CDI 0 214 41 524 3247 4530 1070 0
VCDI 0 4 5 149 4385 12602 25726 16353
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83035 18456 302 2470 780 39 26 0
OW 18 1080 99 1092 962 112 27 0
VODI 0 649 84 1357 1665 417 72 0
ODI 0 299 32 799 2340 945 91 0
CDI 0 454 55 686 3591 4291 4032 311
VCDI 0 25 9 243 4811 12592 22658 16042

Date: 2022-06-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83954 19637 309 1789 268 18 0 0
OW 33 1032 143 1690 782 63 13 0
VODI 0 369 65 1435 2664 408 83 0
ODI 0 264 20 487 2143 1355 243 0
CDI 0 297 54 693 3180 4638 1105 0
VCDI 0 6 6 136 6449 14302 23485 13430
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83954 18523 300 2244 1024 76 11 0
OW 33 1318 78 1087 901 168 60 0
VODI 0 774 104 1074 1553 474 170 0
ODI 0 404 39 692 1970 1322 238 0
CDI 0 568 69 969 3171 4733 4135 290
VCDI 0 18 7 164 6867 14011 20315 13140


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 01 Jul 2022 02:59:18 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy