Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76260 13211 188 912 184 9 0 0
OW 50 411 46 475 173 26 0 0
VODI 0 147 28 557 556 106 6 0
ODI 0 53 14 292 808 122 148 0
CDI 0 65 16 217 1597 2304 211 0
VCDI 0 1 1 27 149 1939 5388 2403
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77833 12285 156 799 215 4 0 0
OW 64 410 50 425 258 38 0 0
VODI 0 250 34 417 479 116 29 0
ODI 0 106 16 263 761 120 140 0
CDI 0 93 18 305 1732 1727 607 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 240 1842 5457 1784
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78746 12261 150 695 176 0 0 0
OW 50 287 56 395 182 13 0 0
VODI 0 120 19 432 530 32 0 0
ODI 0 55 8 251 873 247 31 0
CDI 0 60 15 205 1201 2230 531 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 252 1222 5337 2437
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78221 13119 155 678 122 0 0 0
OW 35 253 52 495 202 4 0 0
VODI 0 107 20 401 596 34 0 0
ODI 0 60 5 242 890 259 28 0
CDI 0 112 17 164 1406 2279 369 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 222 460 4156 3937
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78211 13133 164 786 148 0 0 0
OW 45 228 43 413 195 5 0 0
VODI 0 115 18 357 555 23 0 0
ODI 0 64 6 238 843 280 19 0
CDI 0 111 18 186 1491 2249 333 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 206 479 4201 3937

Date: 2022-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78760 12990 136 531 122 0 0 0
OW 31 276 65 475 217 7 0 0
VODI 0 93 13 475 559 75 0 0
ODI 0 66 12 210 694 376 66 0
CDI 0 115 10 138 1477 1788 785 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 124 246 2975 5193
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78760 13033 149 636 143 0 0 0
OW 31 224 54 407 211 7 0 0
VODI 0 101 8 423 533 62 0 0
ODI 0 72 13 198 671 399 87 0
CDI 0 110 12 165 1512 1782 742 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 123 242 2997 5193

Date: 2022-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81367 10766 102 361 49 0 0 0
OW 29 297 76 428 105 1 0 0
VODI 0 120 18 648 407 8 0 0
ODI 0 62 4 141 1071 83 7 0
CDI 0 72 14 92 1204 1859 252 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 60 436 5134 3827
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81367 10775 139 600 169 1 0 0
OW 29 230 38 387 216 7 0 0
VODI 0 143 14 345 494 104 0 0
ODI 0 76 6 179 551 367 123 0
CDI 0 93 17 159 1371 1693 1123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 95 215 4147 3827

Date: 2022-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80946 11501 136 457 34 3 0 0
OW 26 257 44 481 132 5 0 0
VODI 0 129 16 407 603 7 0 0
ODI 0 43 10 147 755 153 4 0
CDI 0 67 13 99 1207 1722 686 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 56 332 4866 3756
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80944 11477 158 655 164 10 0 0
OW 28 235 23 377 275 4 0 0
VODI 0 155 11 223 547 152 0 0
ODI 0 58 13 192 425 314 169 0
CDI 0 72 14 144 1296 1537 1497 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 80 205 3890 3756

Date: 2022-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81618 11212 126 434 60 8 0 0
OW 24 244 33 517 167 11 0 0
VODI 0 100 15 356 564 49 0 0
ODI 0 50 7 201 640 139 33 0
CDI 0 70 11 111 1767 1631 161 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 109 1395 4833 2404
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81617 11075 136 616 216 24 0 0
OW 25 282 19 285 268 38 0 0
VODI 0 154 12 270 483 160 41 0
ODI 0 93 15 250 444 333 20 0
CDI 0 72 10 198 1812 1777 749 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 84 901 4217 2404


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