Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 421 9 33 10 0 0 0
OW 0 123 14 142 41 0 1 0
VODI 0 83 33 274 166 32 5 0
ODI 0 59 5 177 466 122 36 0
CDI 0 158 11 197 1457 1410 1063 29
VCDI 0 195 23 219 1050 4701 12206 7111
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 499 8 32 3 0 0 0
OW 0 169 21 110 58 6 1 0
VODI 0 126 34 271 188 40 4 0
ODI 0 74 8 221 449 151 47 0
CDI 0 169 9 243 1445 1562 976 0
VCDI 0 300 27 279 1098 5079 11322 7053
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 668 6 26 2 0 0 0
OW 0 170 36 159 56 4 0 0
VODI 0 96 14 405 233 23 2 0
ODI 0 86 10 270 826 218 8 0
CDI 0 350 25 268 1853 2758 614 0
VCDI 0 275 23 388 485 3942 13345 4436
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 825 9 72 2 0 0 0
OW 0 199 25 244 42 10 1 0
VODI 0 172 19 356 337 18 3 0
ODI 0 181 16 308 913 201 6 0
CDI 0 416 31 329 2204 2345 557 0
VCDI 0 140 27 505 459 3776 13802 3525
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7 865 15 75 6 0 0 0
OW 0 167 25 230 44 9 1 0
VODI 0 184 13 369 323 20 6 0
ODI 0 195 18 298 796 153 4 0
CDI 0 381 26 330 2335 2440 596 0
VCDI 0 141 30 512 453 3728 13762 3525

Date: 2022-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 1017 15 55 11 0 0 0
OW 0 312 36 284 32 11 3 0
VODI 0 312 19 342 346 34 1 0
ODI 0 279 20 349 906 299 16 0
CDI 0 366 42 516 2242 2041 845 0
VCDI 0 98 18 343 714 6094 9558 4495
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 1103 28 114 13 0 0 0
OW 0 250 26 265 66 5 2 0
VODI 0 306 17 291 329 38 2 0
ODI 0 279 19 344 794 231 21 0
CDI 0 343 39 496 2311 2169 963 0
VCDI 0 103 21 379 738 6036 9435 4495

Date: 2022-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 1899 35 95 2 1 0 0
OW 0 394 61 251 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 202 32 743 369 10 3 0
ODI 0 90 16 447 2262 201 8 0
CDI 0 127 17 408 1224 2500 478 0
VCDI 0 5 3 150 817 6306 8535 4353
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 1333 36 150 51 1 0 0
OW 0 261 33 230 105 1 0 0
VODI 0 426 14 323 327 38 4 0
ODI 0 280 29 466 987 237 27 0
CDI 0 385 43 619 2162 2483 871 0
VCDI 0 32 9 306 1069 6258 8122 4353

Date: 2022-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20 2168 53 127 31 35 0 0
OW 0 357 46 440 91 29 0 0
VODI 0 163 41 768 601 21 2 0
ODI 0 73 26 523 1775 172 13 0
CDI 0 141 16 220 1384 2294 971 0
VCDI 0 0 1 119 1594 6027 7595 4145
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20 1457 43 203 46 24 0 0
OW 0 278 20 247 79 14 0 0
VODI 0 452 20 351 489 86 1 0
ODI 0 317 48 682 929 173 34 0
CDI 0 382 46 562 2098 2507 1773 0
VCDI 0 16 6 152 1835 5774 6773 4145

Date: 2022-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 2255 42 160 16 25 16 0
OW 0 428 66 487 119 32 12 0
VODI 0 178 45 909 728 74 20 0
ODI 0 152 18 445 1214 351 35 0
CDI 0 139 20 176 1070 2067 1630 0
VCDI 0 5 3 63 748 5264 8888 4171
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11 1590 42 227 13 5 0 0
OW 0 294 25 282 86 24 2 0
VODI 0 446 25 479 495 107 17 0
ODI 0 447 52 698 811 340 51 0
CDI 0 372 47 478 1712 2279 3052 66
VCDI 0 8 3 76 778 5058 7479 4105


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