Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 388 24 616 271 5 0 0
OW 0 86 9 542 817 7 0 0
VODI 0 39 5 267 830 32 0 0
ODI 0 37 2 161 621 169 12 0
CDI 0 117 16 304 1516 1699 255 13
VCDI 0 49 7 125 747 8357 16600 11121
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 592 66 1034 426 1 0 0
OW 0 96 7 481 656 6 0 0
VODI 0 78 11 248 520 74 1 0
ODI 0 70 8 150 588 230 12 0
CDI 0 168 20 353 1369 2230 583 0
VCDI 0 54 6 95 617 6299 17224 11493
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1000 51 1143 476 2 0 0
OW 0 237 21 468 398 3 0 0
VODI 0 100 11 340 644 7 0 0
ODI 0 113 8 206 918 148 0 0
CDI 0 156 20 217 1940 1983 212 2
VCDI 0 7 3 44 510 4851 15900 13727
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1626 101 1176 397 0 0 0
OW 0 186 21 570 414 1 0 0
VODI 0 122 7 227 679 5 0 0
ODI 0 101 1 137 869 162 0 0
CDI 0 154 14 192 1120 1875 269 6
VCDI 0 52 15 78 559 4981 16537 13212
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1636 104 1340 571 0 0 0
OW 0 160 19 361 275 1 0 0
VODI 0 123 5 270 672 0 0 0
ODI 0 114 2 143 805 164 1 0
CDI 0 158 15 193 1126 1826 246 7
VCDI 0 50 14 73 589 5033 16559 13211

Date: 2022-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2219 135 1265 396 2 0 0
OW 0 136 11 422 398 1 0 0
VODI 0 109 2 174 699 74 0 0
ODI 0 93 4 115 646 392 0 0
CDI 0 131 11 187 977 1728 415 16
VCDI 0 99 15 99 642 5558 18324 10371
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2216 134 1336 506 1 0 0
OW 0 120 11 311 351 2 0 0
VODI 0 126 3 214 649 77 0 0
ODI 0 95 4 111 588 375 0 0
CDI 0 127 12 194 952 1627 362 14
VCDI 0 103 14 96 712 5673 18377 10373

Date: 2022-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2619 127 1400 211 3 0 0
OW 0 167 18 425 214 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 6 340 735 1 0 0
ODI 0 68 8 114 1478 307 0 0
CDI 0 111 20 151 960 2174 84 4
VCDI 0 10 4 141 652 4714 16932 11582
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 2500 123 1510 387 2 0 0
OW 0 118 17 361 370 1 0 0
VODI 0 110 7 178 711 32 0 0
ODI 0 84 3 115 681 247 1 0
CDI 0 134 17 208 1225 1446 558 37
VCDI 0 115 16 199 876 5471 16457 11549

Date: 2022-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3232 160 1311 178 0 0 0
OW 0 207 19 435 338 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 2 258 960 16 0 0
ODI 0 99 6 116 1417 356 2 0
CDI 0 106 13 203 1521 1290 196 8
VCDI 0 58 8 135 899 6600 16512 9106
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3001 153 1365 407 0 0 0
OW 0 147 16 271 361 0 0 0
VODI 0 154 8 218 763 9 0 0
ODI 0 129 2 177 715 151 3 0
CDI 0 220 15 234 1779 1263 505 26
VCDI 0 150 14 193 1288 6839 16202 9088

Date: 2022-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 202 3962 110 1118 114 2 0 0
OW 0 157 15 613 428 13 0 0
VODI 0 90 10 227 931 206 2 0
ODI 0 85 4 113 957 689 30 0
CDI 0 104 11 136 885 1067 185 0
VCDI 0 53 11 189 1299 4936 18865 8047
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 202 3692 99 1192 221 2 0 0
OW 0 182 21 427 372 9 0 0
VODI 0 132 7 280 670 86 2 0
ODI 0 104 1 115 571 438 22 0
CDI 0 234 18 181 1431 1673 673 4
VCDI 0 107 15 201 1349 4705 18385 8043


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