Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-06-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76260 14020 221 1561 465 14 0 0
OW 50 620 69 1159 1031 33 1 0
VODI 0 269 66 1098 1552 170 11 0
ODI 0 149 21 630 1895 413 196 0
CDI 0 340 43 718 4570 5413 1529 42
VCDI 0 245 31 371 1946 14997 34194 20635
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77833 13376 230 1865 644 5 0 0
OW 64 675 78 1016 972 50 1 0
VODI 0 454 79 936 1187 230 34 0
ODI 0 250 32 634 1798 501 199 0
CDI 0 430 47 901 4546 5519 2166 0
VCDI 0 354 33 401 1955 13220 34003 20330
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78748 13929 207 1864 654 2 0 0
OW 50 694 113 1022 636 20 0 0
VODI 0 316 44 1177 1407 62 2 0
ODI 0 254 26 727 2617 613 39 0
CDI 0 566 60 690 4994 6971 1357 2
VCDI 0 282 26 433 1247 10015 34582 20600
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78228 15570 265 1926 521 0 0 0
OW 35 638 98 1309 658 15 1 0
VODI 0 401 46 984 1612 57 3 0
ODI 0 342 22 687 2672 622 34 0
CDI 0 682 62 685 4730 6499 1195 6
VCDI 0 192 42 583 1240 9217 34495 20674
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78218 15634 283 2201 725 0 0 0
OW 45 555 87 1004 514 15 1 0
VODI 0 422 36 996 1550 43 6 0
ODI 0 373 26 679 2444 597 24 0
CDI 0 650 59 709 4952 6515 1175 7
VCDI 0 191 44 585 1248 9240 34522 20673

Date: 2022-06-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78771 16226 286 1851 529 2 0 0
OW 31 724 112 1181 647 19 3 0
VODI 0 514 34 991 1604 183 1 0
ODI 0 438 36 674 2246 1067 82 0
CDI 0 612 63 841 4696 5557 2045 16
VCDI 0 197 33 442 1480 11898 30857 20059
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78771 16352 311 2086 662 1 0 0
OW 31 594 91 983 628 14 2 0
VODI 0 533 28 928 1511 177 2 0
ODI 0 446 36 653 2053 1005 108 0
CDI 0 580 63 855 4775 5578 2067 14
VCDI 0 206 35 475 1573 11951 30809 20061

Date: 2022-06-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81378 15284 264 1856 262 4 0 0
OW 29 858 155 1104 346 1 0 0
VODI 0 408 56 1731 1511 19 3 0
ODI 0 220 28 702 4811 591 15 0
CDI 0 310 51 651 3388 6533 814 4
VCDI 0 15 7 291 1529 11456 30601 19762
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81378 14608 298 2260 607 4 0 0
OW 29 609 88 978 691 9 0 0
VODI 0 679 35 846 1532 174 4 0
ODI 0 440 38 760 2219 851 151 0
CDI 0 612 77 986 4758 5622 2552 37
VCDI 0 147 25 505 2040 11944 28726 19729

Date: 2022-06-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80966 16901 349 1895 243 38 0 0
OW 26 821 109 1356 561 34 0 0
VODI 0 391 59 1433 2164 44 2 0
ODI 0 215 42 786 3947 681 19 0
CDI 0 314 42 522 4112 5306 1853 8
VCDI 0 58 9 254 2549 12959 28973 17007
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80964 15935 354 2223 617 34 0 0
OW 28 660 59 895 715 18 0 0
VODI 0 761 39 792 1799 247 1 0
ODI 0 504 63 1051 2069 638 206 0
CDI 0 674 75 940 5173 5307 3775 26
VCDI 0 166 20 345 3203 12818 26865 16989

Date: 2022-06-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81831 17429 278 1712 190 35 16 0
OW 24 829 114 1617 714 56 12 0
VODI 0 368 70 1492 2223 329 22 0
ODI 0 287 29 759 2811 1179 98 0
CDI 0 313 42 423 3722 4765 1976 0
VCDI 0 58 14 252 2156 11595 32586 14622
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81830 16357 277 2035 450 31 0 0
OW 25 758 65 994 726 71 2 0
VODI 0 732 44 1029 1648 353 60 0
ODI 0 644 68 1063 1826 1111 93 0
CDI 0 678 75 857 4955 5729 4474 70
VCDI 0 115 18 277 2211 10664 30081 14552


Generated by /metno/routine/sms/V2/xSIvalidation/xSIwebPage.sh Fri 24 Jun 2022 02:59:51 AM UTC on arcval

 
See Met Privacy