Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73378 13215 162 1296 479 12 0 0
OW 60 282 66 414 240 21 3 0
VODI 0 87 27 511 410 73 16 0
ODI 0 212 23 516 848 201 58 0
CDI 0 73 13 509 1397 1301 350 0
VCDI 0 0 2 103 515 3034 5538 3655
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73577 13476 175 1265 318 6 0 0
OW 59 329 55 381 239 30 0 0
VODI 0 131 24 436 468 145 2 0
ODI 0 254 31 568 774 373 12 0
CDI 0 154 21 511 1510 2049 836 0
VCDI 0 5 3 66 270 1904 5208 3435
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74260 14134 196 1117 209 0 0 0
OW 52 259 51 575 178 2 0 0
VODI 0 91 26 646 582 15 0 0
ODI 0 63 10 286 1149 202 0 0
CDI 0 35 9 234 1333 2312 627 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 58 1051 5542 3796
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75877 13281 190 930 177 4 0 0
OW 51 307 54 590 153 21 0 0
VODI 0 119 35 584 572 108 4 0
ODI 0 60 11 301 847 138 151 0
CDI 0 44 9 235 1520 2097 460 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 152 1454 4964 3576
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75877 13267 186 964 197 7 0 0
OW 51 300 56 536 126 26 0 0
VODI 0 138 37 577 537 86 2 0
ODI 0 64 11 318 867 152 82 0
CDI 0 42 9 245 1534 2104 532 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 160 1447 4963 3576

Date: 2022-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76924 12890 166 842 205 5 0 0
OW 50 393 53 453 236 42 0 0
VODI 0 177 29 499 507 119 26 0
ODI 0 64 14 257 779 111 182 0
CDI 0 67 17 266 1790 2090 203 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 136 1407 5896 2189
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76924 12860 171 832 213 8 0 0
OW 50 407 47 455 184 43 0 0
VODI 0 190 32 494 542 87 18 0
ODI 0 70 12 263 759 143 164 0
CDI 0 64 17 273 1817 2082 242 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 138 1411 5883 2189

Date: 2022-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78291 12446 139 710 168 5 0 0
OW 50 345 75 409 138 10 0 0
VODI 0 116 23 550 403 33 0 0
ODI 0 50 8 247 1042 180 16 0
CDI 0 66 15 204 1212 2149 540 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 214 881 6528 1836
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78291 12067 143 862 265 18 0 0
OW 50 419 42 298 269 48 0 0
VODI 0 309 32 309 420 133 37 0
ODI 0 105 20 269 566 308 144 0
CDI 0 123 22 360 1290 1867 859 0
VCDI 0 0 1 23 367 884 6044 1836

Date: 2022-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78920 12227 143 698 166 4 0 0
OW 47 256 53 435 215 7 0 0
VODI 0 103 20 426 570 41 0 0
ODI 0 58 7 210 901 266 44 0
CDI 0 85 12 190 1231 1998 762 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 244 723 5732 2306
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78917 11808 140 811 395 30 0 0
OW 50 364 34 308 270 69 3 0
VODI 0 279 24 265 444 158 77 0
ODI 0 121 17 222 613 355 50 0
CDI 0 156 19 344 1235 1723 1024 3
VCDI 0 1 1 9 370 704 5384 2303

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78415 13092 147 642 112 0 0 0
OW 33 251 58 512 189 3 0 0
VODI 0 107 14 436 588 33 0 0
ODI 0 60 8 284 745 390 10 0
CDI 0 116 14 179 1443 1697 898 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 161 488 3621 4354
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78414 12617 153 850 392 37 0 0
OW 34 401 29 292 210 101 1 0
VODI 0 249 24 293 445 136 2 0
ODI 0 141 12 280 490 364 114 0
CDI 0 218 23 335 1368 1454 1201 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 333 519 3211 4354


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