Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-06-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 130 10 212 54 3 3 0
OW 0 102 7 291 332 7 2 0
VODI 0 42 1 160 777 142 1 0
ODI 0 58 3 76 612 233 14 0
CDI 0 108 17 137 981 1012 186 2
VCDI 0 89 16 284 778 3519 14996 20469
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 94 4 406 58 11 1 0
OW 0 76 4 322 554 6 1 0
VODI 0 41 1 145 740 106 0 0
ODI 0 47 3 38 675 171 7 0
CDI 0 112 10 98 1058 1121 260 4
VCDI 0 83 22 320 739 3311 15208 20009
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 186 4 322 106 7 0 0
OW 0 68 6 376 405 2 0 0
VODI 0 47 5 223 1238 8 0 0
ODI 0 35 3 75 979 218 0 0
CDI 0 78 11 195 817 1603 337 11
VCDI 0 42 7 155 504 4302 16825 16666
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-06-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 296 16 424 203 6 0 0
OW 0 86 13 543 630 4 0 0
VODI 0 40 3 269 1146 29 0 0
ODI 0 37 3 123 641 231 7 0
CDI 0 93 13 261 1542 1608 133 16
VCDI 0 37 8 160 998 7293 16954 12000
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 305 20 481 389 6 0 0
OW 0 84 9 447 627 4 0 0
VODI 0 39 3 320 971 56 0 0
ODI 0 34 3 117 582 199 6 0
CDI 0 88 13 278 1565 1622 117 16
VCDI 0 39 8 137 1026 7284 16971 12000

Date: 2022-06-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 536 47 849 305 2 0 0
OW 0 109 15 474 804 6 0 0
VODI 0 57 5 279 600 40 2 0
ODI 0 51 10 196 564 206 10 0
CDI 0 133 16 302 1457 1652 620 12
VCDI 0 54 8 97 567 7622 15813 12346
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 534 46 868 642 4 0 0
OW 0 110 11 434 481 3 0 0
VODI 0 62 11 288 578 38 1 0
ODI 0 59 9 207 529 210 8 0
CDI 0 122 16 309 1477 1696 710 12
VCDI 0 53 8 91 590 7577 15726 12346

Date: 2022-06-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 737 65 1080 364 15 0 0
OW 0 110 13 421 401 5 0 0
VODI 0 95 9 452 763 4 0 0
ODI 0 74 6 232 989 194 3 0
CDI 0 147 22 226 1267 2935 187 3
VCDI 0 0 0 28 454 4464 17718 12383
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 630 62 1255 729 19 0 0
OW 0 93 7 307 379 3 0 0
VODI 0 127 13 259 545 73 0 0
ODI 0 85 6 184 554 229 9 1
CDI 0 171 20 362 1411 2492 753 14
VCDI 0 57 7 72 620 4801 17146 12371

Date: 2022-06-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1191 63 1202 515 4 0 0
OW 0 214 16 518 436 1 0 0
VODI 0 115 7 269 664 15 0 0
ODI 0 121 5 160 768 241 1 0
CDI 0 147 17 221 1196 2249 272 2
VCDI 0 34 9 69 497 4451 19564 10612
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1004 58 1357 700 4 0 0
OW 0 198 10 221 345 2 0 0
VODI 0 206 13 278 543 60 0 0
ODI 0 123 5 162 551 233 5 0
CDI 0 228 22 352 1391 2242 857 6
VCDI 0 63 9 69 546 4420 18975 10608

Date: 2022-06-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1765 122 1271 457 3 0 0
OW 0 156 11 514 458 0 0 0
VODI 0 112 5 169 719 61 0 0
ODI 0 94 2 111 674 373 1 0
CDI 0 128 14 177 1149 1505 418 13
VCDI 0 93 15 108 585 5256 17416 11911
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1534 109 1292 620 2 0 0
OW 0 286 16 234 272 17 0 0
VODI 0 155 11 292 587 78 0 0
ODI 0 124 4 144 536 301 3 0
CDI 0 148 12 272 1437 1757 1014 18
VCDI 0 101 17 116 590 5043 16818 11906


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