Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70507 14498 188 1220 702 103 1 0
OW 63 164 49 383 462 46 3 0
VODI 0 130 12 253 543 112 23 0
ODI 0 102 10 154 712 243 73 0
CDI 0 78 15 176 1316 1489 287 0
VCDI 0 95 14 178 487 2673 5977 5559
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70895 14406 182 1415 791 31 0 0
OW 62 230 37 367 303 58 7 0
VODI 0 155 18 319 415 150 31 0
ODI 0 109 13 209 588 137 164 0
CDI 0 107 22 250 1158 1594 386 0
VCDI 0 126 16 249 707 2213 5261 5919
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71359 14438 192 1365 591 13 0 0
OW 61 180 52 522 197 26 0 0
VODI 0 76 12 427 542 40 8 0
ODI 0 70 12 289 1131 128 16 0
CDI 0 141 23 277 1720 1729 327 0
VCDI 0 4 2 34 340 2970 5639 4147
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72026 14394 186 1311 458 6 0 0
OW 61 241 58 494 203 22 0 0
VODI 0 72 23 548 450 48 11 0
ODI 0 186 23 416 985 166 30 0
CDI 0 83 16 443 1386 1209 219 0
VCDI 0 1 2 113 666 3721 7003 1820
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72026 14439 190 1419 503 6 0 0
OW 61 205 53 373 214 20 0 0
VODI 0 71 24 532 382 49 7 0
ODI 0 176 23 432 967 134 27 0
CDI 0 85 16 442 1395 1244 240 0
VCDI 0 1 2 127 687 3719 6989 1820

Date: 2022-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73248 13490 146 1265 518 30 0 0
OW 60 292 59 379 222 44 3 0
VODI 0 108 17 475 398 118 21 0
ODI 0 233 28 590 772 206 127 0
CDI 0 92 13 541 1537 1624 400 0
VCDI 0 1 2 92 528 2622 6427 2372
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73248 13573 156 1323 577 38 0 0
OW 60 224 48 312 196 49 3 0
VODI 0 101 20 458 344 87 15 0
ODI 0 225 26 589 764 211 117 0
CDI 0 89 13 498 1568 1705 475 0
VCDI 0 4 2 162 526 2554 6368 2372

Date: 2022-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73919 14023 200 1090 253 2 0 0
OW 56 231 73 639 143 12 0 0
VODI 0 82 20 772 508 26 0 0
ODI 0 46 7 269 1317 158 0 0
CDI 0 36 9 268 1392 2647 287 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 99 1525 5499 3492
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73917 13428 181 1199 391 14 0 0
OW 58 285 39 309 206 31 0 0
VODI 0 153 35 476 427 110 1 0
ODI 0 285 30 516 793 330 7 0
CDI 0 263 19 477 1662 2268 837 0
VCDI 0 4 5 61 233 1617 4941 3492

Date: 2022-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75553 13329 194 919 190 0 0 0
OW 52 287 66 606 133 10 0 0
VODI 0 109 30 649 550 63 0 0
ODI 0 57 8 348 934 220 10 0
CDI 0 30 11 208 1391 1875 820 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 125 1081 5450 3791
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75551 12371 154 870 332 13 0 0
OW 54 418 39 284 198 44 0 0
VODI 0 383 59 512 361 169 8 0
ODI 0 334 31 573 628 190 5 0
CDI 0 306 26 443 1592 1742 1036 0
VCDI 0 0 0 49 212 1091 5231 3791

Date: 2022-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76260 13211 188 912 184 9 0 0
OW 50 411 46 475 173 26 0 0
VODI 0 147 28 557 556 106 6 0
ODI 0 53 14 292 808 122 148 0
CDI 0 65 16 217 1597 2304 211 0
VCDI 0 1 1 27 149 1939 5388 2403
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76259 11958 153 884 343 43 0 0
OW 51 522 30 260 175 64 9 0
VODI 0 620 51 442 291 110 159 0
ODI 0 402 27 474 601 39 16 0
CDI 0 361 22 339 1799 2658 495 0
VCDI 0 25 10 81 258 1592 5074 2403


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