Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 159 11 76 3 0 0 0
OW 0 46 12 117 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 3 131 128 8 0 0
ODI 0 7 5 130 215 72 26 0
CDI 0 53 11 156 614 711 367 29
VCDI 0 85 8 222 1579 4221 10642 12188
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 85 10 76 6 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 127 72 4 0 0
VODI 0 2 4 127 149 22 4 0
ODI 0 50 7 62 229 105 41 0
CDI 0 102 9 137 738 821 655 4
VCDI 0 128 17 210 1688 4348 11007 11036
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 74 6 28 3 0 0 0
OW 0 32 11 133 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 10 183 172 24 1 0
ODI 0 42 1 66 391 87 24 0
CDI 0 103 12 173 1353 1383 215 0
VCDI 0 97 10 152 1152 4845 10254 10989
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 137 5 48 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 13 119 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 5 172 160 12 1 0
ODI 0 23 5 109 359 67 24 0
CDI 0 108 7 142 1194 1496 285 0
VCDI 0 92 11 176 1060 4755 10344 11092
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 128 6 66 0 0 0 0
OW 0 24 10 103 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 7 158 136 12 2 0
ODI 0 23 4 108 349 70 46 0
CDI 0 112 8 170 1219 1570 326 0
VCDI 0 85 11 161 1072 4678 10280 11092

Date: 2022-05-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 223 11 53 1 0 0 0
OW 0 63 13 105 10 0 1 0
VODI 0 18 7 203 132 7 2 0
ODI 0 8 6 187 264 58 19 0
CDI 0 80 8 153 1301 1393 340 0
VCDI 0 115 15 194 968 4782 10390 10952
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 228 13 73 2 0 0 0
OW 0 48 13 88 12 1 0 0
VODI 0 28 6 193 98 5 5 0
ODI 0 11 5 190 299 60 35 0
CDI 0 89 10 166 1290 1478 402 0
VCDI 0 103 13 185 975 4696 10310 10952

Date: 2022-05-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 370 10 57 9 0 0 0
OW 0 94 18 127 19 0 1 0
VODI 0 18 12 317 152 9 0 0
ODI 0 22 6 180 608 57 3 0
CDI 0 105 13 235 1076 2059 133 0
VCDI 0 72 6 92 493 4448 12828 8433
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 300 9 87 11 0 0 0
OW 0 76 9 93 28 1 1 0
VODI 0 76 11 120 106 7 1 0
ODI 0 20 8 223 280 54 42 0
CDI 0 66 12 238 1021 1626 517 0
VCDI 0 143 16 247 911 4885 12404 8433

Date: 2022-06-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 392 6 74 17 0 0 0
OW 0 97 13 130 39 0 1 0
VODI 0 57 15 237 221 6 0 0
ODI 0 30 10 186 456 149 20 0
CDI 0 110 13 302 1241 1804 755 0
VCDI 0 99 10 186 850 5388 11921 7247
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 270 6 50 27 0 0 0
OW 0 73 3 73 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 9 123 133 12 7 0
ODI 0 70 19 217 257 136 78 0
CDI 0 106 14 312 929 1383 849 0
VCDI 0 131 16 340 1440 5816 11763 7247

Date: 2022-06-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 421 9 33 10 0 0 0
OW 0 123 14 142 41 0 1 0
VODI 0 83 33 274 166 32 5 0
ODI 0 59 5 177 466 122 36 0
CDI 0 158 11 197 1457 1410 1063 29
VCDI 0 195 23 219 1050 4701 12206 7111
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 271 6 41 11 0 0 0
OW 0 79 3 73 37 1 1 0
VODI 0 135 12 113 138 60 29 0
ODI 0 127 33 178 240 104 161 0
CDI 0 169 13 324 1092 1250 1128 27
VCDI 0 258 28 313 1672 4850 11992 7113


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