Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69898 14405 166 1037 462 43 12 0
OW 71 255 30 267 679 155 8 0
VODI 0 115 14 229 631 114 42 0
ODI 0 20 21 169 538 203 91 0
CDI 0 12 2 155 1216 1235 359 0
VCDI 0 9 3 102 880 3685 5651 6116
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70886 13581 164 1102 612 114 27 0
OW 70 200 26 282 571 91 14 0
VODI 0 121 12 209 511 107 45 0
ODI 0 47 19 168 589 178 89 0
CDI 0 19 3 200 1234 1330 379 0
VCDI 0 83 6 125 1132 3023 5910 5821
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70985 13717 173 1075 465 125 0 0
OW 66 123 37 424 414 80 2 0
VODI 0 70 11 292 805 72 17 0
ODI 0 29 12 147 919 212 41 0
CDI 0 37 5 127 1296 2078 389 0
VCDI 0 66 5 114 523 2139 6013 5995
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70880 13989 162 1145 633 95 2 0
OW 64 169 53 434 533 47 3 0
VODI 0 123 13 279 553 77 21 0
ODI 0 88 6 143 758 253 59 0
CDI 0 60 16 209 1370 1476 273 0
VCDI 0 112 16 199 492 2526 6220 5549
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70881 14017 178 1197 835 119 2 0
OW 63 158 36 405 381 26 3 0
VODI 0 110 15 247 539 70 19 0
ODI 0 85 4 151 652 298 48 0
CDI 0 56 17 204 1393 1403 276 0
VCDI 0 115 16 205 539 2558 6230 5549

Date: 2022-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70596 14431 172 1417 817 44 0 0
OW 63 184 43 332 373 55 4 0
VODI 0 143 17 286 491 138 24 0
ODI 0 109 14 156 692 165 132 0
CDI 0 104 17 201 1333 1492 320 0
VCDI 0 109 17 248 542 2573 5507 5739
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70596 14482 176 1460 972 39 0 0
OW 63 144 44 313 277 70 4 0
VODI 0 125 11 254 468 135 23 0
ODI 0 106 13 159 635 168 104 0
CDI 0 103 18 214 1330 1439 335 0
VCDI 0 120 18 240 566 2616 5521 5739

Date: 2022-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70922 14584 182 1391 661 7 0 0
OW 62 236 57 499 185 25 0 0
VODI 0 82 17 481 456 54 1 0
ODI 0 56 10 258 1206 113 15 0
CDI 0 137 20 330 1531 1910 214 0
VCDI 0 5 1 17 228 2018 5928 5201
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70922 14527 204 1695 848 41 1 0
OW 62 145 22 286 278 53 3 0
VODI 0 125 15 257 421 131 27 0
ODI 0 80 13 226 526 216 102 0
CDI 0 116 22 258 1284 1496 430 0
VCDI 0 107 11 254 910 2190 5595 5201

Date: 2022-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71693 14456 194 1337 514 6 0 0
OW 61 203 56 509 193 21 0 0
VODI 0 68 17 546 452 53 4 0
ODI 0 123 18 299 1121 128 17 0
CDI 0 108 19 281 1727 1474 168 0
VCDI 0 0 1 32 452 2469 7972 2308
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71693 14241 200 1540 708 53 2 0
OW 61 247 31 271 224 45 8 0
VODI 0 126 19 362 332 116 30 0
ODI 0 84 12 290 605 255 76 0
CDI 0 188 27 276 1603 1438 348 0
VCDI 0 72 16 265 987 2244 7697 2308

Date: 2022-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73378 13215 162 1296 479 12 0 0
OW 60 282 66 414 240 21 3 0
VODI 0 87 27 511 410 73 16 0
ODI 0 212 23 516 848 201 58 0
CDI 0 73 13 509 1397 1301 350 0
VCDI 0 0 2 103 515 3034 5538 3655
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73378 12830 173 1518 727 69 6 0
OW 60 326 20 211 209 62 13 0
VODI 0 248 30 240 337 162 77 0
ODI 0 155 23 331 473 242 74 0
CDI 0 239 33 536 1277 1196 755 6
VCDI 0 71 14 513 866 2911 5040 3649


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