Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 10 70 14 0 0 0
OW 0 52 9 45 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 7 107 53 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 111 131 27 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 475 233 75 9
VCDI 0 0 0 58 854 4050 10498 14982
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 114 9 60 8 0 0 0
OW 0 44 7 66 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 9 109 50 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 111 95 37 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 92 502 347 193 1
VCDI 0 0 0 101 1002 4255 9175 15646
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 156 12 49 4 0 0 0
OW 0 29 7 132 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 2 129 125 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 95 219 41 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 145 781 609 122 33
VCDI 0 10 2 129 1317 4305 9666 13940
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 187 13 72 2 0 0 0
OW 0 49 9 129 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 2 124 123 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 125 232 43 21 0
CDI 0 8 2 198 697 568 214 24
VCDI 0 73 7 171 1477 4686 10130 12652
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 174 10 79 5 0 0 0
OW 0 56 11 123 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 3 117 124 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 138 206 39 21 0
CDI 0 11 3 201 669 577 223 23
VCDI 0 71 7 161 1531 4681 10121 12653

Date: 2022-05-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 124 8 73 6 0 0 0
OW 0 23 6 129 49 2 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 134 125 19 2 0
ODI 0 28 11 105 204 90 29 0
CDI 0 98 10 120 688 815 469 11
VCDI 0 107 16 198 1777 3969 11340 11294
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 128 10 75 7 0 0 0
OW 0 19 4 116 38 1 0 0
VODI 0 1 3 146 146 13 3 0
ODI 0 30 9 103 181 98 32 0
CDI 0 108 8 115 706 852 446 4
VCDI 0 96 18 204 1771 3931 11359 11301

Date: 2022-05-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 45 8 44 4 0 0 0
OW 0 1 2 149 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 11 182 200 21 2 0
ODI 0 50 4 85 394 137 20 0
CDI 0 117 16 155 1214 1384 260 0
VCDI 0 86 5 122 1172 4695 10568 10862
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 46 9 112 6 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 93 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 4 117 174 19 12 0
ODI 0 35 11 62 238 150 27 0
CDI 0 114 6 131 944 983 584 0
VCDI 0 144 16 222 1600 5085 10227 10862

Date: 2022-05-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 110 5 18 0 0 0 0
OW 0 25 9 135 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 10 172 169 14 2 0
ODI 0 37 2 58 380 87 36 0
CDI 0 108 9 205 1321 1390 312 0
VCDI 0 92 10 158 1198 4488 11563 9909
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 113 8 75 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 6 70 24 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 1 104 173 25 19 0
ODI 0 5 4 82 270 137 45 0
CDI 0 52 13 90 1118 1070 250 0
VCDI 0 192 13 325 1521 4745 11599 9909

Date: 2022-05-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 180 11 46 1 0 0 0
OW 0 21 12 129 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 210 138 10 1 0
ODI 0 14 5 141 346 48 14 0
CDI 0 97 7 121 1147 1561 256 0
VCDI 0 101 11 177 1066 4662 11121 10405
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 143 9 46 2 0 0 0
OW 0 38 7 83 55 10 2 0
VODI 0 19 4 115 149 67 18 0
ODI 0 1 3 136 196 180 68 0
CDI 0 16 11 113 975 1095 338 0
VCDI 0 196 14 331 1342 4929 10966 10405


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