Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 40 5 8 6 0 0 0
OW 0 1 2 26 39 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 7 71 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 80 64 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 157 453 76 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 202 3465 10411 16941
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 53 7 12 1 0 0 0
OW 0 2 1 44 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 1 33 70 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 122 21 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 283 229 28 13
VCDI 0 0 0 1 344 3344 10066 17363
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 15 61 11 0 0 0
OW 0 45 9 57 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 3 108 65 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 86 119 24 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 29 319 194 23 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 370 3438 11152 15783
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 106 15 68 26 0 0 0
OW 0 45 6 51 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 28 5 112 58 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 98 141 59 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 410 253 57 0
VCDI 0 0 0 65 630 4129 10753 14868
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 117 17 77 29 0 0 0
OW 0 46 4 60 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 5 103 58 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 87 127 60 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 398 254 58 0
VCDI 0 0 0 67 654 4131 10751 14868

Date: 2022-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 115 9 74 7 0 0 0
OW 0 55 11 60 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 6 113 46 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 105 95 23 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 80 495 214 88 11
VCDI 0 0 0 48 1021 4478 10520 14367
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 139 10 76 8 0 0 0
OW 0 37 9 62 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 7 120 46 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 91 103 20 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 74 432 240 92 15
VCDI 0 0 0 57 1072 4453 10516 14363

Date: 2022-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 127 12 46 6 0 0 0
OW 0 30 7 112 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 159 103 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 97 234 64 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 113 747 666 117 19
VCDI 0 0 1 69 877 4080 8261 16109
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 135 14 51 9 0 0 0
OW 0 16 2 66 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 6 128 66 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 86 134 42 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 92 486 500 115 15
VCDI 0 0 1 173 1270 4261 8253 16113

Date: 2022-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 188 14 63 3 0 0 0
OW 0 30 7 134 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 3 119 123 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 102 237 31 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 164 812 561 137 26
VCDI 0 42 8 132 1349 4579 10085 13091
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 183 13 41 1 0 0 0
OW 0 25 6 72 15 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 3 96 69 4 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 105 151 18 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 173 702 610 235 10
VCDI 0 42 8 227 1608 4542 9976 13107

Date: 2022-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 159 11 76 3 0 0 0
OW 0 46 12 117 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 6 3 131 128 8 0 0
ODI 0 7 5 130 215 72 26 0
CDI 0 53 11 156 614 711 367 29
VCDI 0 85 8 222 1579 4221 10642 12188
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 185 19 70 10 0 0 0
OW 0 24 5 64 35 3 0 0
VODI 0 2 1 128 78 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 146 144 72 16 0
CDI 0 45 12 184 617 676 359 6
VCDI 0 100 11 240 1696 4251 10660 12211


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