Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 19 25 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 91 28 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 44 289 453 137 40
VCDI 0 0 0 74 1044 2718 12657 28216
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 13 24 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 12 96 207 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 398 609 237 51
VCDI 0 35 9 165 1385 4294 13721 24548
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 0 32 155 73 0 0
ODI 0 6 0 18 277 203 14 0
CDI 0 21 1 63 713 684 116 33
VCDI 0 187 13 160 2806 5448 12572 22263
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 42 12 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 14 210 125 15 0
ODI 0 3 2 25 228 264 46 0
CDI 0 2 1 79 439 955 273 42
VCDI 0 78 12 205 1341 6964 11803 22685
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 33 6 0 0
VODI 0 1 0 12 201 119 10 0
ODI 0 3 1 24 231 253 35 0
CDI 0 2 2 75 467 997 208 57
VCDI 0 78 12 212 1319 6945 11884 22670

Date: 2022-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 36 72 27 3 0
VODI 0 4 1 32 197 109 31 0
ODI 0 7 0 27 233 206 81 0
CDI 0 1 3 104 498 611 710 19
VCDI 0 61 9 221 1277 4292 14078 22913
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 22 11 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 25 53 20 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 19 205 102 20 0
ODI 0 8 0 27 240 204 74 0
CDI 0 1 3 109 519 681 756 31
VCDI 0 61 9 218 1252 4238 14053 22901

Date: 2022-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 44 32 3 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 86 279 39 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 76 647 167 15 0
CDI 0 3 1 176 1213 1545 175 1
VCDI 0 56 8 156 860 3535 12333 24416
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 25 30 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 27 49 31 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 29 275 131 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 36 330 158 47 0
CDI 0 0 0 183 1032 1213 259 37
VCDI 0 59 9 238 1315 3756 12211 24380

Date: 2022-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 10 13 0 0 0
OW 0 3 1 37 110 1 0 0
VODI 0 5 2 48 505 67 1 0
ODI 0 5 2 99 644 203 22 0
CDI 0 14 5 282 1037 843 870 23
VCDI 0 73 16 208 1214 3089 11539 24875
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 9 55 0 0 0
OW 0 2 1 22 156 12 0 0
VODI 0 3 2 31 435 77 5 0
ODI 0 4 2 48 343 187 29 0
CDI 0 16 4 250 1086 827 893 74
VCDI 0 75 17 324 1448 3100 11505 24824

Date: 2022-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 0 20 32 0 0 0
OW 0 18 0 36 264 7 0 0
VODI 0 18 1 90 618 119 28 0
ODI 0 21 2 172 505 204 64 0
CDI 0 47 7 322 904 603 1045 40
VCDI 0 100 17 344 1280 3317 10691 24925
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 7 0 29 144 4 0 0
OW 0 14 0 24 220 20 3 0
VODI 0 14 1 55 378 108 44 0
ODI 0 17 2 71 409 166 37 0
CDI 0 57 7 401 1212 895 1045 61
VCDI 0 100 17 404 1240 3057 10699 24904


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