Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68468 14631 166 1043 574 17 0 0
OW 60 325 46 518 531 49 0 0
VODI 0 53 24 314 915 194 22 0
ODI 0 3 2 96 606 409 28 0
CDI 0 0 2 40 766 1282 216 0
VCDI 0 4 1 38 442 4770 7701 4744
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68359 14608 184 1149 599 51 1 0
OW 60 365 45 436 570 53 14 0
VODI 0 75 13 289 855 232 39 0
ODI 0 10 9 115 607 402 42 0
CDI 0 9 2 69 857 1104 386 0
VCDI 0 38 5 60 586 4570 6832 5400
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68188 15197 175 993 472 81 0 0
OW 60 88 44 504 404 75 4 0
VODI 0 5 5 330 877 158 22 0
ODI 0 3 2 84 828 360 46 0
CDI 0 13 2 21 701 1946 199 0
VCDI 0 16 1 61 303 4444 6210 6178
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68554 14914 169 914 463 98 2 0
OW 59 162 58 496 394 85 19 0
VODI 0 13 7 374 796 188 41 0
ODI 0 0 0 99 736 429 73 0
CDI 0 4 1 32 664 2145 241 0
VCDI 0 1 3 51 232 3600 6861 6122
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68554 14881 176 993 500 97 3 0
OW 59 193 43 413 398 88 20 0
VODI 0 15 15 398 783 203 38 0
ODI 0 0 0 81 742 436 80 0
CDI 0 1 1 22 649 2181 250 0
VCDI 0 4 3 59 213 3540 6846 6122

Date: 2022-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68925 14837 174 841 398 55 2 0
OW 59 235 56 496 437 54 20 0
VODI 0 36 20 317 716 199 40 0
ODI 0 0 0 126 619 485 82 0
CDI 0 4 2 40 808 2062 389 0
VCDI 0 9 6 50 220 3259 6479 6543
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68925 14807 178 963 451 55 4 0
OW 59 263 45 350 445 56 20 0
VODI 0 38 27 343 667 214 42 0
ODI 0 0 0 130 624 508 90 0
CDI 0 0 1 31 806 2065 372 0
VCDI 0 13 7 53 205 3216 6484 6543

Date: 2022-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69221 14790 176 813 292 25 0 0
OW 58 161 62 550 309 19 3 0
VODI 0 4 10 388 746 68 19 0
ODI 0 1 0 94 1186 347 57 0
CDI 0 8 2 37 1031 2499 399 0
VCDI 0 2 1 84 839 2929 5704 6166
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69221 14602 179 1031 457 43 3 0
OW 58 282 44 324 397 62 17 0
VODI 0 65 23 285 677 242 65 0
ODI 0 6 2 160 782 322 99 0
CDI 0 0 0 41 1122 1947 444 0
VCDI 0 11 3 125 968 3271 5554 6166

Date: 2022-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69407 14644 183 971 449 29 1 0
OW 71 230 40 400 450 34 10 0
VODI 0 42 19 324 971 103 43 0
ODI 0 0 3 153 771 210 70 0
CDI 0 0 0 77 978 2061 374 0
VCDI 0 0 0 77 803 3200 6121 5781
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69407 14423 174 1035 638 51 12 0
OW 71 333 46 340 471 57 40 0
VODI 0 135 12 255 698 132 81 0
ODI 0 25 12 136 767 288 95 0
CDI 0 0 1 137 890 1637 373 6
VCDI 0 0 0 99 958 3472 6018 5775

Date: 2022-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69898 14405 166 1037 462 43 12 0
OW 71 255 30 267 679 155 8 0
VODI 0 115 14 229 631 114 42 0
ODI 0 20 21 169 538 203 91 0
CDI 0 12 2 155 1216 1235 359 0
VCDI 0 9 3 102 880 3685 5651 6116
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69897 14198 160 1044 608 151 10 0
OW 72 338 34 270 406 90 51 0
VODI 0 169 12 188 702 126 89 0
ODI 0 83 15 118 522 340 115 0
CDI 0 7 11 224 1045 1256 231 2
VCDI 0 21 4 115 1123 3472 5667 6114


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