Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
GODAE regions

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-05-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 5 0 18 6 0 0 0
OW 0 35 1 21 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 16 4 44 27 2 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 51 62 32 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 42 78 236 23 2
VCDI 0 0 0 73 253 3784 9068 18192
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 10 0 12 6 0 0 0
OW 0 51 1 24 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 7 49 64 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 40 94 21 0 1
CDI 0 0 0 19 172 169 32 126
VCDI 0 0 0 37 415 3633 10148 16930
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 60 6 18 14 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 53 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 26 76 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 106 46 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 115 369 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 168 2785 10789 17331
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 4 8 8 1 0 0
OW 0 3 3 22 44 4 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 12 75 9 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 60 70 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 68 459 136 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 123 2149 11356 17434
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 4 8 11 1 0 0
OW 0 5 3 18 43 5 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 15 66 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 1 68 79 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 53 453 133 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 137 2144 11359 17434

Date: 2022-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 44 4 9 5 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 25 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 93 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 15 102 37 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 175 384 71 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 292 3248 10759 16738
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 3 6 9 0 0 0
OW 0 11 4 18 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 24 102 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 18 100 41 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 180 379 78 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 278 3248 10754 16740

Date: 2022-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 67 10 35 8 0 0 0
OW 0 34 9 68 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 75 101 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 19 164 25 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 300 247 21 2
VCDI 0 0 0 10 262 3560 9411 17628
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 75 11 27 9 0 0 0
OW 0 21 2 46 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 6 60 65 7 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 52 115 43 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 299 214 24 14
VCDI 0 0 0 22 345 3571 9406 17616

Date: 2022-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 113 17 81 16 0 0 0
OW 0 51 7 55 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 5 117 63 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 100 110 31 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 61 332 230 45 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 533 3681 11167 15179
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 73 10 64 17 0 0 0
OW 0 59 10 51 29 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 8 86 71 21 0 0
ODI 0 9 1 108 118 49 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 100 306 290 59 0
VCDI 0 0 0 45 539 3584 11144 15179

Date: 2022-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 105 10 70 14 0 0 0
OW 0 52 9 45 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 7 107 53 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 111 131 27 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 56 475 233 75 9
VCDI 0 0 0 58 854 4050 10498 14982
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 96 7 49 6 0 0 0
OW 0 43 7 45 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 11 107 82 10 0 0
ODI 0 1 1 138 159 82 5 13
CDI 0 0 0 72 491 400 123 93
VCDI 0 0 0 36 804 3822 10446 14885


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